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Pitomaca vs Kurilovec

Croatia Croatia

Croatian Cup 2021/2022
Pitomaca Logo

Pitomaca

2 - 0
FT
Kurilovec Logo

Kurilovec

Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Milos M.
59' Event
Jakupec K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Pitomaca advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Pitomaca
15%
Draws
59%
Kurilovec
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kurilovec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Pitomaca haven't matched Kurilovec's recent run of results.
  • Kurilovec are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Kurilovec arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Pitomaca, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Pitomaca Clean Sheet 20%
Kurilovec Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pitomaca Kurilovec
Matches Played 9 31
Wins 2 8
Draws 1 8
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.56 1.52
Goals Conceded 2.11 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2021 Croatian Cup
Pitomaca vs Kurilovec
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pitomaca Compare

Top Goalscorer Milos M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jakupec K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Kurilovec Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pitomaca 10 / 100
Kurilovec 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pitomaca Kurilovec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kurilovec Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kurilovec let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Pitomaca's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 9 recent games.

Recent resilience: Pitomaca stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pitomaca VS Kurilovec
2 Goals Scored 0.88
1.2 Goals Conceded 1.38
60% Over 1.5 63%
60% Over 2.5 38%
40% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pitomaca

(Home)
18 Jul
Pitomaca
0 : 0
Bjelovar
27 Aug
NK Koprivnica
1 : 0
Pitomaca
11 Sept
Pitomaca
1 : 2
Rudes
28 Aug
Sava Strmec
0 : 7
Pitomaca
29 Aug
Dugo Selo
3 : 2
Pitomaca
Page 1 of 2

Kurilovec

(Away)
01 Aug
Kurilovec
0 : 4
Bjelovar
04 Mar
Din. Zagreb
2 : 0
Kurilovec
05 Nov
Kurilovec
2 : 1
Istra 1961
10 Sept
Kurilovec
5 : 0
Oriolik
27 Aug
Zemunik
2 : 12
Kurilovec
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Sesvete 1
Mladost Petrinja 0
TBD -
Varazdin -
Radnik Krizevci 2
Dugopolje 3
TBD -
Lok. Zagreb -
Belisce 4
Mladost Prelog 1
TBD -
Jaska Vinogradar -
Primorac Biograd 1
Samobor 0
TBD -
Hajduk Split -
Nehaj Senj 2
Borac Imbriovec 0
TBD -
HNK Gorica -
Mladost Zdralovi 4
Neretvanac 2
TBD -
Zapresic -
Granicar Zupanja 0
Rudar Labin 1
TBD -
RNK Split -
Vuteks Sloga 3
NK Straza Hum na Sutli 1
TBD -
Istra 1961 -
Virovitica 0
Bijelo Brdo 4
TBD -
Cibalia -
Orijent 2
Marsonia 1
TBD -
Din. Zagreb -
NK Zagreb -
TBD -
Moslavina 0
Oriolik 2
Pitomaca 2
Kurilovec 0
TBD -
Rijeka -
Podravina Ludbreg 0
Bjelovar 1
TBD -
Rudes -
Bednja Beletinec 1
Uljanik Pula 0
TBD -
Osijek -
Medjimurje 4
Slavonija Pozega 0
TBD -
Sibenik -
Zagora 1
Karlovac 2
TBD -
Slaven Belupo -
1/16-finals
Sesvete 2
Varazdin 3
Dugopolje 1
Lok. Zagreb 2
Belisce 4
Jaska Vinogradar 0
Primorac Biograd 1
Hajduk Split 2
Nehaj Senj 3
HNK Gorica 7
Mladost Zdralovi 3
Zapresic 1
Rudar Labin 2
RNK Split 0
Vuteks Sloga 0
Istra 1961 3
Bijelo Brdo 1
Cibalia 0
Orijent 1
Din. Zagreb 4
NK Zagreb 0
Oriolik 1
Pitomaca 0
Rijeka 7
Bjelovar 1
Rudes 5
Bednja Beletinec 0
Osijek 3
Medjimurje 0
Sibenik 1
Karlovac 0
Slaven Belupo 2
1/8-finals
Varazdin 2
Lok. Zagreb 3
Belisce 1
Hajduk Split 5
HNK Gorica 2
Mladost Zdralovi 0
Rudar Labin 2
Istra 1961 3
Bijelo Brdo 2
Din. Zagreb 3
Oriolik 0
Rijeka 6
Rudes 0
Osijek 2
Sibenik 1
Slaven Belupo 2
Quarter-finals
Lok. Zagreb 3
Hajduk Split 6
HNK Gorica 3
Istra 1961 2
Din. Zagreb 1
Rijeka 3
Osijek 1
Slaven Belupo 0
Semi-finals
Hajduk Split 2
HNK Gorica 1
Rijeka 3
Osijek 2
Final
Hajduk Split 3
Rijeka 1