Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pitomaca vs Rijeka

Croatia Croatia

Croatian Cup 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Busnja D.
36' Event
Vuckic H.
49' Event
Vuk M.

AI Match Summary

Rijeka in this Croatian Cup 2021/2022 tie, finishing 0-7. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Pitomaca
20%
Draws
51%
Rijeka
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rijeka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Rijeka have won more games recently than Pitomaca.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Rijeka arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Rijeka, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.4%
Pitomaca Clean Sheet 16%
Rijeka Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pitomaca Rijeka
Matches Played 9 28
Wins 2 16
Draws 1 5
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.56 1.57
Goals Conceded 2.11 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2021 Croatian Cup
Pitomaca vs Rijeka
0:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pitomaca Compare

Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.36

Rijeka Compare

Top Goalscorer Vuckic H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Abass I.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pitomaca 31 / 100
Rijeka 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pitomaca Rijeka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rijeka Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:5
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.

Pitomaca found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (9 games).

Rijeka let in goals in 46% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Pitomaca stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pitomaca VS Rijeka
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pitomaca

(Home)
18 Jul
Pitomaca
0 : 0
Bjelovar
27 Aug
NK Koprivnica
1 : 0
Pitomaca
11 Sept
Pitomaca
1 : 2
Rudes
28 Aug
Sava Strmec
0 : 7
Pitomaca
29 Aug
Dugo Selo
3 : 2
Pitomaca
Page 1 of 2

Rijeka

(Away)
05 Sept
Rijeka
4 : 1
Osijek
31 Aug
HNK Gorica
0 : 0
Rijeka
27 Aug
Rijeka
1 : 4
Midtjylland
23 Aug
Rijeka
3 : 2
Istra 1961
20 Aug
Midtjylland
2 : 0
Rijeka
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Sesvete 1
Mladost Petrinja 0
TBD -
Varazdin -
Radnik Krizevci 2
Dugopolje 3
TBD -
Lok. Zagreb -
Belisce 4
Mladost Prelog 1
TBD -
Jaska Vinogradar -
Primorac Biograd 1
Samobor 0
TBD -
Hajduk Split -
Nehaj Senj 2
Borac Imbriovec 0
TBD -
HNK Gorica -
Mladost Zdralovi 4
Neretvanac 2
TBD -
Zapresic -
Granicar Zupanja 0
Rudar Labin 1
TBD -
RNK Split -
Vuteks Sloga 3
NK Straza Hum na Sutli 1
TBD -
Istra 1961 -
Virovitica 0
Bijelo Brdo 4
TBD -
Cibalia -
Orijent 2
Marsonia 1
TBD -
Din. Zagreb -
NK Zagreb -
TBD -
Moslavina 0
Oriolik 2
Pitomaca 2
Kurilovec 0
TBD -
Rijeka -
Podravina Ludbreg 0
Bjelovar 1
TBD -
Rudes -
Bednja Beletinec 1
Uljanik Pula 0
TBD -
Osijek -
Medjimurje 4
Slavonija Pozega 0
TBD -
Sibenik -
Zagora 1
Karlovac 2
TBD -
Slaven Belupo -
1/16-finals
Sesvete 2
Varazdin 3
Dugopolje 1
Lok. Zagreb 2
Belisce 4
Jaska Vinogradar 0
Primorac Biograd 1
Hajduk Split 2
Nehaj Senj 3
HNK Gorica 7
Mladost Zdralovi 3
Zapresic 1
Rudar Labin 2
RNK Split 0
Vuteks Sloga 0
Istra 1961 3
Bijelo Brdo 1
Cibalia 0
Orijent 1
Din. Zagreb 4
NK Zagreb 0
Oriolik 1
Pitomaca 0
Rijeka 7
Bjelovar 1
Rudes 5
Bednja Beletinec 0
Osijek 3
Medjimurje 0
Sibenik 1
Karlovac 0
Slaven Belupo 2
1/8-finals
Varazdin 2
Lok. Zagreb 3
Belisce 1
Hajduk Split 5
HNK Gorica 2
Mladost Zdralovi 0
Rudar Labin 2
Istra 1961 3
Bijelo Brdo 2
Din. Zagreb 3
Oriolik 0
Rijeka 6
Rudes 0
Osijek 2
Sibenik 1
Slaven Belupo 2
Quarter-finals
Lok. Zagreb 3
Hajduk Split 6
HNK Gorica 3
Istra 1961 2
Din. Zagreb 1
Rijeka 3
Osijek 1
Slaven Belupo 0
Semi-finals
Hajduk Split 2
HNK Gorica 1
Rijeka 3
Osijek 2
Final
Hajduk Split 3
Rijeka 1