Sport Picks
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Louisville City
USA
USL Championship Highmark Stadium, Pittsburgh, PA 
Match Events
13'
13'
Adams K.
29'
29'
Souza V.
47'
47'
Amann T.
Assist: Walti J.
AI Match Summary
Pittsburgh Riverhounds in this USL Championship matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pittsburgh Riverhounds.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
30%
34%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Louisville City average 1.75 goals a game right now, well clear of Pittsburgh Riverhounds's 1.13.
- Win probability leans Pittsburgh Riverhounds's way, sitting at 36%.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds Clean Sheet 19%
Louisville City Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | Louisville City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 37 |
| Wins | 21 | 21 |
| Draws | 2 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 18, 2026 USL Championship
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Louisville City
3:1
May 9, 2026 USL Championship
Louisville City vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0:2
Sep 13, 2025 USL Championship
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Louisville City
0:2
May 10, 2025 USL Championship
Louisville City vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0:0
Jun 19, 2024 USL Championship
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Louisville City
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pittsburgh Riverhounds Compare
Top Goalscorer Amann T.
3 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Louisville City Compare
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 36 / 100
Louisville City 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pittsburgh Riverhounds Louisville City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Pittsburgh Riverhounds scored in 82% of their last 34 outings.
Defensive concern: Louisville City conceded in 62% of 37 recent games.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Pittsburgh Riverhounds stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Pittsburgh Riverhounds VS Louisville City
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
(Home) 18 Jul
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
3 : 1 Louisville City
15 Jul
Sporting Jax
2 : 1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds
11 Jul
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
2 : 0 Loudoun United
04 Jul
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0 : 2 Brooklyn FC
20 Jun
Hartford Athletic
0 : 0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Page 1 of 7
18 Jul
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
3 : 1 Louisville City
11 Jul
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
2 : 0 Loudoun United
04 Jul
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0 : 2 Brooklyn FC
13 Jun
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1 : 0 Indy Eleven
30 May
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
2 : 0 Miami FC
Page 1 of 4
Louisville City
(Away) 18 Jul
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
3 : 1 Louisville City
12 Jul
Louisville City
4 : 2 Lexington
05 Jul
Louisville City
1 : 0 Hartford Athletic
20 Jun
Detroit City
0 : 1 Louisville City
14 Jun
Louisville City
2 : 2 Brooklyn FC
Page 1 of 8
18 Jul
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
3 : 1 Louisville City
20 Jun
Detroit City
0 : 1 Louisville City
11 Jun
Phoenix Rising
0 : 2 Louisville City
04 Jun
Birmingham Legion
1 : 1 Louisville City
23 May
Miami FC
4 : 3 Louisville City
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 28:15 | 35 |
| 2 | Charleston | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 32:24 | 27 |
| 3 | Detroit City | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 23:15 | 27 |
| 4 | Louisville City | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 26:25 | 24 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 19:19 | 23 |
| 6 | Rhode Island | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 25:18 | 22 |
| 7 | Indy Eleven | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 18:17 | 21 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 22:29 | 21 |
| 9 | Hartford Athletic | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 12:14 | 20 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 16 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 19:29 | 15 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 16:19 | 14 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17:27 | 13 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 23:46 | 8 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orange County SC | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 27:19 | 31 |
| 2 | San Antonio FC | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 22:19 | 28 |
| 3 | Colorado Springs | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 28:23 | 25 |
| 4 | New Mexico | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 19:15 | 24 |
| 5 | Sacramento Republic | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 19:15 | 23 |
| 6 | FC Tulsa | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18:16 | 23 |
| 7 | Lexington | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24:20 | 22 |
| 8 | El Paso Locomotive | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 27:25 | 22 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 24:26 | 21 |
| 10 | Phoenix Rising | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 23:24 | 21 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 25:27 | 21 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 17:27 | 15 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
