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Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Rhode Island

USA USA

USL Championship Highmark Stadium, Pittsburgh, PA
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Rodriguez A.
62' Event
Williams J.
Assist: Scardina N.
72'
Sub
Rodriguez A. In: Atkinson D.
Out: Rodriguez A.

AI Match Summary

Rhode Island in this USL Championship matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rhode Island.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
20%
Draws
38%
Rhode Island
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pittsburgh Riverhounds lately — more wins on the board than Rhode Island.
  • Win probability leans Pittsburgh Riverhounds's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds Clean Sheet 17%
Rhode Island Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pittsburgh Riverhounds Rhode Island
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 21 16
Draws 2 4
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.13 2
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 USL Championship
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Rhode Island
0:1
Nov 15, 2025 USL Championship
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Rhode Island
1:0
Aug 2, 2025 USL Championship
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Rhode Island
2:0
May 31, 2025 USL Cup
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Rhode Island
0:1
May 24, 2025 USL Championship
Rhode Island vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pittsburgh Riverhounds Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Rhode Island Compare

Top Goalscorer Williams J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pittsburgh Riverhounds 41 / 100
Rhode Island 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pittsburgh Riverhounds Rhode Island

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pittsburgh Riverhounds's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Rhode Island let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Pittsburgh Riverhounds remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pittsburgh Riverhounds VS Rhode Island
1.13 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pittsburgh Riverhounds

(Home)
25 Jul
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0 : 1
Rhode Island
18 Jul
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
3 : 1
Louisville City
15 Jul
Sporting Jax
2 : 1
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
11 Jul
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
2 : 0
Loudoun United
04 Jul
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0 : 2
Brooklyn FC
Page 1 of 7

Rhode Island

(Away)
25 Jul
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0 : 1
Rhode Island
18 Jul
Rhode Island
1 : 0
Hartford Athletic
11 Jul
Rhode Island
2 : 1
Brooklyn FC
09 Jul
Sacramento Republic
2 : 1
Rhode Island
04 Jul
Rhode Island
1 : 1
Orange County SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay17105228:1535
2Charleston1783632:2427
3Detroit City1683523:1527
4Louisville City1673626:2524
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds1672719:1923
6Rhode Island1564525:1822
7Indy Eleven1563618:1721
8Miami FC1856722:2921
9Hartford Athletic1648412:1420
10Loudoun United1629519:2915
11Birmingham Legion1528516:1914
12Brooklyn FC1634917:2713
13Sporting Jax18151223:468
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Orange County SC1787227:1931
2San Antonio FC1777322:1928
3Colorado Springs1674528:2325
4New Mexico1473419:1524
5Sacramento Republic1565419:1523
6FC Tulsa1565418:1623
7Lexington1664624:2022
8El Paso Locomotive1664627:2522
9Las Vegas Lights1663724:2621
10Phoenix Rising1756623:2421
11Oakland Roots1756625:2721
12Monterey Bay17431017:2715
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)