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Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Charleston Prediction & H2H Stats

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USL Championship Highmark Stadium, Pittsburgh, PA
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Match Events

2' Event
Amann T.
Assist: Walti J.
16' Event
Griffin D.
Assist: Amann T.
18' Event
Martinez D.
Assist: Messer N.

AI Match Summary

The USL Championship game between Pittsburgh Riverhounds and Charleston finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pittsburgh Riverhounds.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
30%
Draws
47%
Charleston
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Charleston

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Charleston come out ahead of Pittsburgh Riverhounds on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Charleston taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Charleston have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds Clean Sheet 16%
Charleston Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pittsburgh Riverhounds Charleston
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 15
Draws 5 4
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.07 2
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 USL Championship
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Charleston
3:1
Jun 6, 2026 USL Cup
Charleston vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1:0
Mar 7, 2026 USL Championship
Charleston vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
2:1
Aug 16, 2025 USL Championship
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Charleston
1:2
Apr 12, 2025 USL Championship
Charleston vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pittsburgh Riverhounds Compare

Top Goalscorer Amann T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Griffin D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Charleston Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pittsburgh Riverhounds 28 / 100
Charleston 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pittsburgh Riverhounds Charleston

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Charleston Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pittsburgh Riverhounds scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Charleston conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Pittsburgh Riverhounds remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pittsburgh Riverhounds VS Charleston
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Pittsburgh Riverhounds

(Home)
27 Sept
Orange County SC
1 : 0
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
19 Sept
Detroit City
1 : 0
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
12 Sept
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1 : 0
Loudoun United
06 Sept
Miami FC
2 : 2
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
29 Aug
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0 : 0
Tampa Bay
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Charleston

(Away)
26 Sept
Charleston
2 : 0
Rhode Island
19 Sept
Charleston
1 : 0
Monterey Bay
12 Sept
Birmingham Legion
2 : 2
Charleston
02 Sept
Charleston
1 : 2
Hartford Athletic
30 Aug
Las Vegas Lights
0 : 2
Charleston
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 27 15 7 5 46:25 52
2 Detroit City 27 13 8 6 33:20 47
3 Charleston 26 14 4 8 52:31 46
4 Hartford Athletic 26 9 12 5 29:26 39
5 Rhode Island 26 11 5 10 39:29 38
6 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 27 11 5 11 28:27 38
7 Louisville City 26 10 7 9 43:42 37
8 Miami FC 28 9 9 10 38:45 36
9 Indy Eleven 27 9 7 11 33:33 34
10 Loudoun United 26 4 12 10 32:44 24
11 Birmingham Legion 26 4 11 11 36:43 23
12 Brooklyn FC 27 4 6 17 27:55 18
13 Sporting Jax 27 3 5 19 32:73 14
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Paso Locomotive 27 14 5 8 46:35 47
2 New Mexico 27 13 7 7 41:32 46
3 Sacramento Republic 27 11 11 5 37:25 44
4 Lexington 27 13 4 10 49:33 43
5 FC Tulsa 27 11 9 7 32:25 42
6 Colorado Springs 27 11 7 9 40:37 40
7 Orange County SC 27 10 9 8 36:42 39
8 San Antonio FC 27 9 11 7 29:29 38
9 Las Vegas Lights 27 10 6 11 35:38 36
10 Oakland Roots 27 8 10 9 33:35 34
11 Phoenix Rising 27 8 9 10 36:40 33
12 Monterey Bay 27 5 6 16 29:47 21
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)