Sport Picks
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs FC Tulsa
USA
USL Championship Highmark Stadium, Pittsburgh, PA 
Match Events
13'
13'
Dorsey L.
Assist: Webber J.
31'
31'
Cissoko A.
46'
46'
Sub
Mertz R. In: Goldthorp E.
Out: Mertz R.
AI Match Summary
The USL Championship game between Pittsburgh Riverhounds and FC Tulsa finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Tulsa.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
60%
22%
18%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Pittsburgh Riverhounds carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Pittsburgh Riverhounds's way, sitting at 60%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds Clean Sheet 68%
FC Tulsa Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | FC Tulsa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 31 |
| Wins | 20 | 15 |
| Draws | 2 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 22, 2025 USL Championship
FC Tulsa vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0:1
May 12, 2024 USL Championship
FC Tulsa vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
2:2
May 7, 2024 US Open Cup
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs FC Tulsa
0:1
Sep 30, 2023 USL Championship
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs FC Tulsa
3:2
Mar 29, 2023 USL Championship
FC Tulsa vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pittsburgh Riverhounds Compare
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
FC Tulsa Compare
Top Goalscorer Dorsey L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 68 / 100
FC Tulsa 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pittsburgh Riverhounds FC Tulsa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick PIT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pittsburgh Riverhounds scored in 79% of their last 34 games.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
FC Tulsa has conceded goals in 52% of their last 31 outings.
Pittsburgh Riverhounds went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Pittsburgh Riverhounds VS FC Tulsa
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
(Home) 25 Jul
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0 : 1 Rhode Island
18 Jul
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
3 : 1 Louisville City
15 Jul
Sporting Jax
2 : 1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds
11 Jul
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
2 : 0 Loudoun United
04 Jul
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0 : 2 Brooklyn FC
Page 1 of 7
25 Jul
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0 : 1 Rhode Island
18 Jul
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
3 : 1 Louisville City
11 Jul
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
2 : 0 Loudoun United
04 Jul
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0 : 2 Brooklyn FC
13 Jun
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1 : 0 Indy Eleven
Page 1 of 4
FC Tulsa
(Away) 26 Jul
FC Tulsa
0 : 0 Lexington
19 Jul
FC Tulsa
1 : 0 El Paso Locomotive
12 Jul
Birmingham Legion
3 : 1 FC Tulsa
21 Jun
FC Tulsa
1 : 2 Colorado Springs
18 Jun
FC Tulsa
2 : 0 Monterey Bay
Page 1 of 7
12 Jul
Birmingham Legion
3 : 1 FC Tulsa
13 Jun
Charleston
5 : 1 FC Tulsa
31 May
Las Vegas Lights
0 : 0 FC Tulsa
17 May
Corpus Christi FC
0 : 1 FC Tulsa
03 May
Monterey Bay
1 : 2 FC Tulsa
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 28:15 | 35 |
| 2 | Charleston | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 32:24 | 27 |
| 3 | Detroit City | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 23:15 | 27 |
| 4 | Louisville City | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 26:25 | 24 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 19:19 | 23 |
| 6 | Rhode Island | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 25:18 | 22 |
| 7 | Indy Eleven | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 18:17 | 21 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 22:29 | 21 |
| 9 | Hartford Athletic | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 12:14 | 20 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 16 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 19:29 | 15 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 16:19 | 14 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17:27 | 13 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 23:46 | 8 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orange County SC | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 27:19 | 31 |
| 2 | San Antonio FC | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 22:19 | 28 |
| 3 | Colorado Springs | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 28:23 | 25 |
| 4 | New Mexico | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 19:15 | 24 |
| 5 | Sacramento Republic | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 19:15 | 23 |
| 6 | FC Tulsa | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18:16 | 23 |
| 7 | Lexington | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24:20 | 22 |
| 8 | El Paso Locomotive | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 27:25 | 22 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 24:26 | 21 |
| 10 | Phoenix Rising | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 23:24 | 21 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 25:27 | 21 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 17:27 | 15 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
