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Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Lexington

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lexington in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lexington.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
20%
Draws
44%
Lexington
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lexington

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Lexington at 2.03 per game, Pittsburgh Riverhounds at 1.13.
  • Model gives Lexington a 44% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds Clean Sheet 20%
Lexington Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pittsburgh Riverhounds Lexington
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 14 14
Draws 5 3
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.13 2.03
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Lexington
1:2
Feb 28, 2025 Club Friendly
Lexington vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pittsburgh Riverhounds 20 / 100
Lexington 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pittsburgh Riverhounds Lexington

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lexington Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pittsburgh Riverhounds's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Lexington let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Pittsburgh Riverhounds went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pittsburgh Riverhounds VS Lexington
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pittsburgh Riverhounds

(Home)
19 Sept
Detroit City
1 : 0
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
12 Sept
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1 : 0
Loudoun United
06 Sept
Miami FC
2 : 2
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
29 Aug
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0 : 0
Tampa Bay
27 Aug
El Paso Locomotive
2 : 1
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
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Lexington

(Away)
19 Sept
Lexington
6 : 0
Orange County SC
13 Sept
Oakland Roots
1 : 4
Lexington
05 Sept
Sporting Jax
3 : 2
Lexington
29 Aug
Lexington
0 : 1
Colorado Springs
27 Aug
New Mexico
2 : 1
Lexington
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