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Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Loudoun United Prediction & H2H Stats

USA USA

USL Championship Highmark Stadium, Pittsburgh, PA
Pittsburgh Riverhounds Logo

Pittsburgh Riverhounds

1 - 0
FT
Loudoun United Logo

Loudoun United

Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Bassett S.
Assist: Ahl C.
46'
Sub
Akinyode B. In: Lomtadze G.
Out: Akinyode B.
49'
Young S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Pittsburgh Riverhounds in this USL Championship matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pittsburgh Riverhounds.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
30%
Draws
31%
Loudoun United
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Loudoun United haven't matched Pittsburgh Riverhounds's recent run of results.
  • Pittsburgh Riverhounds are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Pittsburgh Riverhounds here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds Clean Sheet 68%
Loudoun United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pittsburgh Riverhounds Loudoun United
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 12 8
Draws 5 12
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.03 1.3
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 USL Championship
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Loudoun United
1:0
Jul 11, 2026 USL Cup
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Loudoun United
2:0
Mar 14, 2026 USL Championship
Loudoun United vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
2:3
Feb 13, 2026 Club Friendly
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Loudoun United
2:1
Jul 13, 2025 USL Championship
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Loudoun United
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pittsburgh Riverhounds Compare

Top Goalscorer Bassett S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Loudoun United Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pittsburgh Riverhounds 86 / 100
Loudoun United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pittsburgh Riverhounds Loudoun United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pittsburgh Riverhounds Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pittsburgh Riverhounds's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Loudoun United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Pittsburgh Riverhounds stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pittsburgh Riverhounds VS Loudoun United
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
38% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pittsburgh Riverhounds

(Home)
27 Sept
Orange County SC
1 : 0
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
19 Sept
Detroit City
1 : 0
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
12 Sept
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1 : 0
Loudoun United
06 Sept
Miami FC
2 : 2
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
29 Aug
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0 : 0
Tampa Bay
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Loudoun United

(Away)
03 Oct
Loudoun United
1 : 1
Indy Eleven
25 Sept
Sporting Jax
1 : 4
Loudoun United
19 Sept
Louisville City
2 : 1
Loudoun United
12 Sept
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1 : 0
Loudoun United
04 Sept
Loudoun United
4 : 5
Colorado Springs
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 27 15 7 5 46:25 52
2 Detroit City 27 13 8 6 33:20 47
3 Charleston 26 14 4 8 52:31 46
4 Hartford Athletic 26 9 12 5 29:26 39
5 Rhode Island 26 11 5 10 39:29 38
6 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 27 11 5 11 28:27 38
7 Louisville City 26 10 7 9 43:42 37
8 Miami FC 28 9 9 10 38:45 36
9 Indy Eleven 27 9 7 11 33:33 34
10 Loudoun United 26 4 12 10 32:44 24
11 Birmingham Legion 26 4 11 11 36:43 23
12 Brooklyn FC 27 4 6 17 27:55 18
13 Sporting Jax 27 3 5 19 32:73 14
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Paso Locomotive 27 14 5 8 46:35 47
2 Sacramento Republic 27 11 11 5 37:25 44
3 Lexington 27 13 4 10 49:33 43
4 New Mexico 26 12 7 7 39:31 43
5 FC Tulsa 27 11 9 7 32:25 42
6 Colorado Springs 27 11 7 9 40:37 40
7 Orange County SC 27 10 9 8 36:42 39
8 San Antonio FC 27 9 11 7 29:29 38
9 Las Vegas Lights 27 10 6 11 35:38 36
10 Oakland Roots 27 8 10 9 33:35 34
11 Phoenix Rising 26 8 9 9 35:38 33
12 Monterey Bay 27 5 6 16 29:47 21
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)