Sport Picks

Stadium Background

PK-35 Vantaa W vs Aland United W

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women Myyrmaen jalkapallostadion
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

PK-35 Vantaa W play Aland United W in the Kansallinen Liiga Women. Aland United W are favorites here. Recently, PK-35 Vantaa W averaged 2.34 goals scored and 2.48 conceded. Aland United W averaged 2.33 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, PK-35 Vantaa W won 0, Aland United W won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 9, 2026 ended 0:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for PK-35 Vantaa W and 1.00 for Aland United W. This points to a Aland United W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
PK-35 Vantaa W
25%
Draws
60%
Aland United W
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Aland United W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • PK-35 Vantaa W picked up more points recently compared to Aland United W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 95%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 49%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
PK-35 Vantaa W Clean Sheet 23%
Aland United W Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 86%
Second Half Goal 90%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PK-35 Vantaa W Aland United W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 15
Draws 0 2
Losses 20 13
Goals Scored 2.34 2.33
Goals Conceded 2.48 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
PK-35 Vantaa W vs Aland United W
0:5
Oct 11, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Aland United W vs PK-35 Vantaa W
3:1
Sep 14, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women
PK-35 Vantaa W vs Aland United W
0:3
Jul 30, 2025 Suomen Cup Women
Aland United W vs PK-35 Vantaa W
4:3
Jul 12, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women
PK-35 Vantaa W vs Aland United W
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PK-35 Vantaa W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Aland United W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hordijk C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Takanen M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PK-35 Vantaa W 18 / 100
Aland United W 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PK-35 Vantaa W Aland United W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aland United W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Aland United W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.7%
1.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

PK-35 Vantaa W attacking → ← attacking Aland United W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PK-35 Vantaa W scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Aland United W let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

PK-35 Vantaa W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Aland United W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 47
2.13 Goals expected (xG) 2.50
2.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1HJK W11100133:930
2KuPS W1181227:1425
3HPS W1172217:823
4Aland United W1161428:1619
5Ilves W1150619:2115
6Gnistan W1140719:2812
7PK-35 Vantaa W1120911:296
8VIFK Vaasa W1100115:340