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Placido de Castro vs Independencia Futebol Clube

Brazil Brazil

Acreano 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Fabricio
78' Event
Barbosa Nunes B.
84' Event
Rodrigues Venancio L. J.

AI Match Summary

The Acreano 2025 game between Placido de Castro and Independencia Futebol Clube finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Independencia Futebol Clube.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Placido de Castro
6%
Draws
90%
Independencia Futebol Clube
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Independencia Futebol Clube

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Independencia Futebol Clube come out ahead of Placido de Castro on wins alone.
  • Model gives Independencia Futebol Clube a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Acreano 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Independencia Futebol Clube have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Placido de Castro Clean Sheet 20%
Independencia Futebol Clube Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Placido de Castro Independencia Futebol Clube
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 10
Draws 6 7
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2025 Acreano
Placido de Castro vs Independencia Futebol Clube
0:3
Apr 10, 2023 Acreano
Independencia Futebol Clube vs Placido de Castro
4:0
Feb 24, 2019 Acreano
Independencia Futebol Clube vs Placido de Castro
1:1
May 3, 2012 Acreano
Independencia Futebol Clube vs Placido de Castro
2:1
Apr 1, 2012 Acreano
Placido de Castro vs Independencia Futebol Clube
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Placido de Castro Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Independencia Futebol Clube Compare

Top Goalscorer Fabricio
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barbosa Nunes B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Placido de Castro 10 / 100
Independencia Futebol Clube 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Placido de Castro Independencia Futebol Clube

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IND Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Placido de Castro scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Independencia Futebol Clube's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Placido de Castro has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Independencia Futebol Clube
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Placido de Castro

(Home)
11 Sept
Atletico Acreano
7 : 0
Placido de Castro
04 Sept
Sao Francisco FC (AC)
3 : 0
Placido de Castro
26 Aug
Placido de Castro
0 : 8
Santa Cruz AC
21 Aug
Placido de Castro
1 : 0
Nauas EC
16 Aug
Placido de Castro
1 : 3
Andira
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Independencia Futebol Clube

(Away)
28 Jun
Manauara
1 : 1
Independencia Futebol Clube
21 Jun
Independencia Futebol Clube
0 : 2
Manauara
14 Jun
Independencia Futebol Clube
2 : 2
Guapore
31 May
SC Humaita
0 : 4
Independencia Futebol Clube
24 May
Independencia Futebol Clube
3 : 1
Galvez
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vasco da Gama AC752013:517
2Senador Guiomard742113:814
3Independencia Futebol Clube733112:412
4Galvez732214:911
5SC Humaita724112:810
6Rio Branco AC721413:167
7Sao Francisco FC (AC)71063:163
8Placido de Castro70258:22-1
Promotion - Acreano 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Acreano 2 (Main)