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Platense vs Olimpia

Honduras Honduras

Liga Nacional 2025/2026 Estadio Excelsior, Puerto Cortes
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Match Events

34'
Guity K.
35'
Padilla O.
35'
Rodriguez E.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional 2025/2026 game between Platense and Olimpia finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Olimpia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Platense
33%
Draws
27%
Olimpia
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Platense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Platense haven't matched Olimpia's recent run of results.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Platense taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Olimpia here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Platense Clean Sheet 68%
Olimpia Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Platense Olimpia
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 8 15
Draws 9 7
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.13 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Liga Nacional
Olimpia vs Platense
4:0
Mar 13, 2026 Liga Nacional
Platense vs Olimpia
1:2
Nov 2, 2025 Liga Nacional
Platense vs Olimpia
0:1
Aug 23, 2025 Liga Nacional
Olimpia vs Platense
3:1
Apr 14, 2022 Liga Nacional
Olimpia vs Platense
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Platense Compare

Top Goalscorer Puerto E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Olimpia Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramirez S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alvarez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Platense 50 / 100
Olimpia 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Platense Olimpia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PLA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Platense's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Olimpia conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Platense stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Platense VS Olimpia
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Platense

(Home)
01 May
Olimpia
4 : 0
Platense
26 Apr
Platense
1 : 0
Olancho
22 Apr
Real Espana
2 : 0
Platense
19 Apr
Platense
4 : 1
Lobos UPNFM
16 Apr
Juticalpa
1 : 1
Platense
Page 1 of 6

Olimpia

(Away)
24 Jul
Olimpia
1 : 0
Motagua
11 Jul
Houston Dynamo
3 : 0
Olimpia
16 May
Marathon
1 : 0
Olimpia
13 May
Olimpia
3 : 2
Real Espana
10 May
Real Espana
3 : 1
Olimpia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Espana20117237:2540
2Motagua20116336:1739
3Olimpia20115435:1738
4Olancho2088428:1632
5Marathon2076723:1927
6Genesis FC2065920:2823
7CD Choloma2065923:3223
8Platense2056926:2921
9Lobos UPNFM2056923:3021
10Juticalpa20461018:4118
11Victoria20441225:4016
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2025/2026 (Clausura - Triangulares)