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Platense vs Olimpia

Honduras Honduras

Liga Nacional 2025/2026 Estadio Excelsior, Puerto Cortes
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Guity K.
35'
Padilla O.
35'
Rodriguez E.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional 2025/2026 game between Platense and Olimpia finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Olimpia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Platense
20%
Draws
57%
Olimpia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Olimpia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Platense haven't matched Olimpia's recent run of results.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Olimpia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Olimpia here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Platense Clean Sheet 10%
Olimpia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Platense Olimpia
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 7 23
Draws 8 6
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 1.17 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.67 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Liga Nacional
Olimpia vs Platense
4:1
May 1, 2026 Liga Nacional
Olimpia vs Platense
4:0
Mar 13, 2026 Liga Nacional
Platense vs Olimpia
1:2
Nov 2, 2025 Liga Nacional
Platense vs Olimpia
0:1
Aug 23, 2025 Liga Nacional
Olimpia vs Platense
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Platense Compare

Top Goalscorer Puerto E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Olimpia Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramirez S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alvarez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Platense 10 / 100
Olimpia 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Platense Olimpia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olimpia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Platense found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Olimpia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 35 matches.

Recent resilience: Platense stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Platense VS Olimpia
0.75 Goals Scored 2.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Platense

(Home)
18 Sept
Platense
0 : 2
Lobos UPNFM
12 Sept
Estrella
2 : 2
Platense
04 Sept
Olimpia
4 : 1
Platense
29 Aug
Platense
2 : 1
Atletico Independiente
23 Aug
CD Choloma
2 : 0
Platense
Page 1 of 6

Olimpia

(Away)
18 Sept
Olimpia
3 : 0
Luis Angel Firpo
13 Sept
Marathon
1 : 0
Olimpia
11 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
0 : 3
Olimpia
04 Sept
Olimpia
4 : 1
Platense
30 Aug
Estrella
2 : 2
Olimpia
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Espana 20 11 7 2 37:25 40
2 Motagua 20 11 6 3 36:17 39
3 Olimpia 20 11 5 4 35:17 38
4 Olancho 20 8 8 4 28:16 32
5 Marathon 20 7 6 7 23:19 27
6 Genesis FC 20 6 5 9 20:28 23
7 CD Choloma 20 6 5 9 23:32 23
8 Platense 20 5 6 9 26:29 21
9 Lobos UPNFM 20 5 6 9 23:30 21
10 Juticalpa 20 4 6 10 18:41 18
11 Victoria 20 4 4 12 25:40 16
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2025/2026 (Clausura - Triangulares)