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Platges de Calvia vs Cardassar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Josemi

AI Match Summary

Platges de Calvia in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Platges de Calvia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Platges de Calvia
15%
Draws
45%
Cardassar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cardassar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Platges de Calvia lately — more wins on the board than Cardassar.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Cardassar have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Platges de Calvia Clean Sheet 19%
Cardassar Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Platges de Calvia Cardassar
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 13 12
Draws 3 5
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.19 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Platges de Calvia vs Cardassar
1:0
May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Cardassar vs Platges de Calvia
3:1
Jan 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Platges de Calvia vs Cardassar
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Platges de Calvia Compare

Top Goalscorer Josemi
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Cardassar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Platges de Calvia 32 / 100
Cardassar 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Platges de Calvia Cardassar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cardassar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cardassar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Platges de Calvia has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Platges de Calvia found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

Platges de Calvia VS Cardassar
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Platges de Calvia

(Home)
03 Oct
Platges de Calvia
3 : 1
Migjorn
26 Sept
Platges de Calvia
1 : 0
Cardassar
18 Sept
Binissalem
0 : 3
Platges de Calvia
12 Sept
Platges de Calvia
1 : 2
Manacor
06 Sept
SD Ibiza
2 : 1
Platges de Calvia
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Cardassar

(Away)
04 Oct
Cardassar
6 : 2
Alcudia
26 Sept
Platges de Calvia
1 : 0
Cardassar
20 Sept
Cardassar
1 : 0
Constancia
12 Sept
Binissalem
1 : 3
Cardassar
06 Sept
Cardassar
0 : 0
Santanyi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SD Ibiza 6 5 1 0 11:2 16
2 Manacor 5 5 0 0 15:5 15
3 Constancia 6 4 1 1 10:3 13
4 Platges de Calvia 6 4 0 2 11:5 12
5 PE Sant Jordi 6 3 2 1 10:7 11
6 Cardassar 5 3 1 1 10:4 10
7 Llosetense 5 3 1 1 8:3 10
8 Santanyi 5 2 3 0 5:3 9
9 Alcudia 6 3 0 3 11:11 9
10 Porreres 6 3 0 3 7:7 9
11 Formentera 5 2 2 1 7:4 8
12 Binissalem 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
13 Mercadal 6 1 2 3 6:8 5
14 Andratx 6 1 2 3 6:9 5
15 Migjorn 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
16 Arenal 6 1 0 5 5:14 3
17 Inter Ibiza 6 0 1 5 2:15 1
18 Sineu 6 0 0 6 3:16 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 (Play Offs)