Sport Picks
Platges de Calvia vs Llosetense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 
Match Events
8'
8'
Galiano A.
10'
10'
Pacheco A.
25'
25'
Bardolet Pettersson D.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 game between Platges de Calvia and Llosetense finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Llosetense.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
15%
45%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Llosetense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Llosetense carry the better recent record into this one.
- Platges de Calvia are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Platges de Calvia Clean Sheet 16%
Llosetense Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Platges de Calvia | Llosetense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 13 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 16 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 20, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Platges de Calvia vs Llosetense
2:3
Sep 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Llosetense vs Platges de Calvia
1:0
Mar 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Llosetense vs Platges de Calvia
3:4
Oct 26, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Platges de Calvia vs Llosetense
0:0
Apr 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Platges de Calvia vs Llosetense
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Platges de Calvia Compare
Top Goalscorer Bardolet Pettersson D.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Llosetense Compare
Top Goalscorer Galiano A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Pacheco A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Platges de Calvia 36 / 100
Llosetense 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Platges de Calvia Llosetense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Llosetense conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Platges de Calvia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Platges de Calvia scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Platges de Calvia VS Llosetense
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Platges de Calvia
(Home) 03 Oct
Platges de Calvia
3 : 1 Migjorn
26 Sept
Platges de Calvia
1 : 0 Cardassar
18 Sept
Binissalem
0 : 3 Platges de Calvia
12 Sept
Platges de Calvia
1 : 2 Manacor
06 Sept
SD Ibiza
2 : 1 Platges de Calvia
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Platges de Calvia
3 : 1 Migjorn
26 Sept
Platges de Calvia
1 : 0 Cardassar
12 Sept
Platges de Calvia
1 : 2 Manacor
03 May
Platges de Calvia
4 : 2 Manacor
19 Apr
Platges de Calvia
0 : 0 Binissalem
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Llosetense
(Away) 03 Oct
Llosetense
3 : 1 Arenal
26 Sept
Inter Ibiza
1 : 3 Llosetense
19 Sept
Llosetense
0 : 0 Formentera
12 Sept
Andratx
1 : 0 Llosetense
05 Sept
Llosetense
2 : 0 Sineu
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Inter Ibiza
1 : 3 Llosetense
12 Sept
Andratx
1 : 0 Llosetense
23 May
Manacor
2 : 1 Llosetense
03 May
Inter Ibiza
0 : 1 Llosetense
11 Apr
Manacor
1 : 0 Llosetense
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mallorca B | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 105:22 | 84 |
| 2 | Manacor | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 71:39 | 77 |
| 3 | Pena Deportiva | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 69:30 | 68 |
| 4 | Constancia | 34 | 19 | 5 | 10 | 62:29 | 62 |
| 5 | Llosetense | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 59:40 | 58 |
| 6 | Formentera | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 40:29 | 52 |
| 7 | Inter Ibiza | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 42:43 | 50 |
| 8 | Mercadal | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 31:45 | 49 |
| 9 | Cardassar | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 38:55 | 44 |
| 10 | Platges de Calvia | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 41:43 | 42 |
| 11 | Binissalem | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 26:34 | 41 |
| 12 | Santanyi | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 43:58 | 41 |
| 13 | Alcudia | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 37:62 | 38 |
| 14 | CD Son Cladera | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 41:63 | 38 |
| 15 | Portmany | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 25:50 | 30 |
| 16 | Collerense | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 41:64 | 28 |
| 17 | Felanitx | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 32:62 | 26 |
| 18 | Rotlet Molinar | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 34:69 | 23 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
