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Platges de Calvia vs Migjorn - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Garrido A.
31' Event
Flaque Mccrae A. N.
(Penalty)
80'
Riudavets H.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 game between Platges de Calvia and Migjorn finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Platges de Calvia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Platges de Calvia
15%
Draws
21%
Migjorn
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Platges de Calvia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Platges de Calvia come out ahead of Migjorn on wins alone.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Platges de Calvia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Platges de Calvia have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Platges de Calvia Clean Sheet 20%
Migjorn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Platges de Calvia Migjorn
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 12 3
Draws 3 3
Losses 15 22
Goals Scored 1.17 0.68
Goals Conceded 1.2 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Platges de Calvia vs Migjorn
3:1
Jan 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Migjorn vs Platges de Calvia
1:3
Sep 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Platges de Calvia vs Migjorn
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Platges de Calvia Compare

Top Goalscorer Garrido A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Migjorn Compare

Top Goalscorer Sidibe A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Platges de Calvia 85 / 100
Migjorn 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Platges de Calvia Migjorn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Platges de Calvia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Migjorn conceded in 93% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Platges de Calvia stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Migjorn lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Platges de Calvia VS Migjorn
1.5 Goals Scored 0.67
1 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Platges de Calvia

(Home)
03 Oct
Platges de Calvia
3 : 1
Migjorn
26 Sept
Platges de Calvia
1 : 0
Cardassar
18 Sept
Binissalem
0 : 3
Platges de Calvia
12 Sept
Platges de Calvia
1 : 2
Manacor
06 Sept
SD Ibiza
2 : 1
Platges de Calvia
Page 1 of 6

Migjorn

(Away)
03 Oct
Platges de Calvia
3 : 1
Migjorn
27 Sept
Migjorn
1 : 0
Binissalem
19 Sept
Manacor
5 : 1
Migjorn
12 Sept
Migjorn
1 : 3
SD Ibiza
06 Sept
PE Sant Jordi
1 : 0
Migjorn
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manacor 5 5 0 0 15:5 15
2 Constancia 6 4 1 1 10:3 13
3 SD Ibiza 5 4 1 0 8:2 13
4 Cardassar 5 3 1 1 10:4 10
5 Llosetense 5 3 1 1 8:3 10
6 Platges de Calvia 5 3 0 2 9:5 9
7 Santanyi 5 2 3 0 5:3 9
8 Porreres 6 3 0 3 7:7 9
9 Formentera 5 2 2 1 7:4 8
10 PE Sant Jordi 5 2 2 1 7:7 8
11 Alcudia 5 2 0 3 10:11 6
12 Mercadal 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
13 Andratx 5 1 2 2 4:6 5
14 Binissalem 5 1 0 4 5:9 3
15 Arenal 5 1 0 4 5:11 3
16 Migjorn 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
17 Inter Ibiza 5 0 1 4 2:12 1
18 Sineu 5 0 0 5 3:14 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 (Play Offs)