Sport Picks
Platges de Calvia vs Portmany Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 
Match Events
27'
27'
Makate M.
58'
58'
Cano R.
63'
63'
Escandell Oliver M.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 game between Platges de Calvia and Portmany finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Portmany.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
44%
20%
36%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Platges de Calvia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
44%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Platges de Calvia come out ahead of Portmany on wins alone.
- Model gives Platges de Calvia a 44% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Platges de Calvia Clean Sheet 68%
Portmany Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Platges de Calvia | Portmany |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 7 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 16 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 0.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.19 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 28, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Portmany vs Platges de Calvia
0:2
Nov 15, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Platges de Calvia vs Portmany
1:2
Feb 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Portmany vs Platges de Calvia
1:2
Sep 29, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Platges de Calvia vs Portmany
2:2
Mar 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Platges de Calvia vs Portmany
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Platges de Calvia Compare
Top Goalscorer Makate M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Portmany Compare
Top Goalscorer Cano R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Escandell Oliver M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Platges de Calvia 95 / 100
Portmany 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Platges de Calvia Portmany
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Platges de Calvia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Portmany conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Platges de Calvia's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Platges de Calvia has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Platges de Calvia VS Portmany
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Platges de Calvia
(Home) 26 Sept
Platges de Calvia
1 : 0 Cardassar
18 Sept
Binissalem
0 : 3 Platges de Calvia
12 Sept
Platges de Calvia
1 : 2 Manacor
06 Sept
SD Ibiza
2 : 1 Platges de Calvia
10 May
Cardassar
3 : 1 Platges de Calvia
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Platges de Calvia
1 : 0 Cardassar
12 Sept
Platges de Calvia
1 : 2 Manacor
03 May
Platges de Calvia
4 : 2 Manacor
19 Apr
Platges de Calvia
0 : 0 Binissalem
05 Apr
Platges de Calvia
0 : 4 Pena Deportiva
Page 1 of 4
Portmany
(Away) 10 May
Portmany
0 : 1 Rotlet Molinar
02 May
Collerense
2 : 1 Portmany
26 Apr
Portmany
1 : 1 Santanyi
18 Apr
CD Son Cladera
1 : 1 Portmany
11 Apr
Portmany
3 : 1 Alcudia
Page 1 of 6
02 May
Collerense
2 : 1 Portmany
18 Apr
CD Son Cladera
1 : 1 Portmany
05 Apr
Mallorca B
5 : 0 Portmany
22 Mar
Formentera
2 : 1 Portmany
07 Mar
Llosetense
3 : 0 Portmany
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mallorca B | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 105:22 | 84 |
| 2 | Manacor | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 71:39 | 77 |
| 3 | Pena Deportiva | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 69:30 | 68 |
| 4 | Constancia | 34 | 19 | 5 | 10 | 62:29 | 62 |
| 5 | Llosetense | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 59:40 | 58 |
| 6 | Formentera | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 40:29 | 52 |
| 7 | Inter Ibiza | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 42:43 | 50 |
| 8 | Mercadal | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 31:45 | 49 |
| 9 | Cardassar | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 38:55 | 44 |
| 10 | Platges de Calvia | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 41:43 | 42 |
| 11 | Binissalem | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 26:34 | 41 |
| 12 | Santanyi | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 43:58 | 41 |
| 13 | Alcudia | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 37:62 | 38 |
| 14 | CD Son Cladera | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 41:63 | 38 |
| 15 | Portmany | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 25:50 | 30 |
| 16 | Collerense | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 41:64 | 28 |
| 17 | Felanitx | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 32:62 | 26 |
| 18 | Rotlet Molinar | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 34:69 | 23 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
