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Platges de Calvia vs Santanyi

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Balde A.
48' Event
Alvarez A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 game between Platges de Calvia and Santanyi finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santanyi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Platges de Calvia
15%
Draws
26%
Santanyi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Platges de Calvia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Platges de Calvia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Platges de Calvia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Platges de Calvia Clean Sheet 68%
Santanyi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Platges de Calvia Santanyi
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 4 6
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.1 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Platges de Calvia vs Santanyi
0:1
Oct 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Santanyi vs Platges de Calvia
2:3
May 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Platges de Calvia vs Santanyi
2:1
Dec 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Santanyi vs Platges de Calvia
0:0
Mar 23, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Santanyi vs Platges de Calvia
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Platges de Calvia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Santanyi Compare

Top Goalscorer Alvarez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Platges de Calvia 95 / 100
Santanyi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Platges de Calvia Santanyi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Platges de Calvia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santanyi let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Platges de Calvia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Santanyi's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Platges de Calvia VS Santanyi
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Platges de Calvia

(Home)
10 May
Cardassar
3 : 1
Platges de Calvia
03 May
Platges de Calvia
4 : 2
Manacor
26 Apr
Mercadal
1 : 0
Platges de Calvia
22 Apr
Felanitx
0 : 3
Platges de Calvia
19 Apr
Platges de Calvia
0 : 0
Binissalem
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Santanyi

(Away)
30 Aug
Andratx
2 : 1
Santanyi
29 Aug
Collerense
1 : 2
Santanyi
22 Aug
Santanyi
0 : 2
Porreres
01 Aug
Baleares
4 : 1
Santanyi
10 May
Felanitx
2 : 1
Santanyi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 34 26 6 2 105:22 84
2 Manacor 34 24 5 5 71:39 77
3 Pena Deportiva 34 20 8 6 69:30 68
4 Constancia 34 19 5 10 62:29 62
5 Llosetense 34 16 10 8 59:40 58
6 Formentera 34 13 13 8 40:29 52
7 Inter Ibiza 34 15 5 14 42:43 50
8 Mercadal 34 15 4 15 31:45 49
9 Cardassar 34 12 8 14 38:55 44
10 Platges de Calvia 34 12 6 16 41:43 42
11 Binissalem 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
12 Santanyi 34 11 8 15 43:58 41
13 Alcudia 34 11 5 18 37:62 38
14 CD Son Cladera 34 11 5 18 41:63 38
15 Portmany 34 8 6 20 25:50 30
16 Collerense 34 6 10 18 41:64 28
17 Felanitx 34 5 11 18 32:62 26
18 Rotlet Molinar 34 5 8 21 34:69 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)