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Plauen vs Motor Marienberg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Flade M.
16'
Luge A.
16'
Luge A.

AI Match Summary

Plauen in this Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 6-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Plauen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Plauen
30%
Draws
31%
Motor Marienberg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Plauen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Plauen lately — more wins on the board than Motor Marienberg.
  • Win probability leans Plauen's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Plauen Clean Sheet 68%
Motor Marienberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Plauen Motor Marienberg
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 17 6
Draws 5 4
Losses 10 20
Goals Scored 1.84 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.28 3.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2024 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Plauen vs Motor Marienberg
6:0
Jul 29, 2023 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Motor Marienberg vs Plauen
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Plauen Compare

Top Goalscorer Winther M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kind T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Motor Marienberg Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Plauen 95 / 100
Motor Marienberg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Plauen Motor Marienberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Plauen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Plauen found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).

Motor Marienberg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Plauen remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Plauen VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Plauen

(Home)
26 Sept
SSC Weissenfels
0 : 2
Plauen
19 Sept
Plauen
1 : 2
Krieschow
13 Sept
Glauchau
1 : 1
Plauen
29 Aug
Plauen
2 : 2
Einheit Wernigerode
16 Aug
Auerbach
1 : 0
Plauen
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Motor Marienberg

(Away)
08 Jun
Motor Marienberg
1 : 1
Einheit Wernigerode
02 Jun
Grimma
6 : 3
Motor Marienberg
18 May
Motor Marienberg
3 : 4
Halberstadt
11 May
Freital
1 : 0
Motor Marienberg
04 May
Motor Marienberg
2 : 1
Bischofswerdaer
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bischofswerdaer 30 21 7 2 78:33 70
2 Plauen 30 22 4 4 63:19 70
3 Halberstadt 30 18 6 6 71:45 60
4 Magdeburg II 30 17 4 9 70:43 55
5 Auerbach 30 17 4 9 64:38 55
6 Krieschow 30 14 4 12 59:52 46
7 Sandersdorf 30 13 3 14 49:46 42
8 Freital 30 12 4 14 43:46 40
9 Einheit Wernigerode 30 10 6 14 54:67 36
10 Bautzen 30 9 8 13 45:52 35
11 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 10 4 16 40:53 34
12 Grimma 30 9 5 16 40:63 32
13 Ludwigsfelder 30 8 7 15 39:50 31
14 Halle 30 8 6 16 47:62 30
15 Motor Marienberg 30 6 4 20 33:93 22
16 Arnstadt 30 5 6 19 35:68 21
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2024/2025 (Main)