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Playford Patriots vs FK Beograd

Australia Australia

NPL South Australia Ramsay Park
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Atkinson D.

AI Match Summary

The NPL South Australia game between Playford Patriots and FK Beograd finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FK Beograd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Playford Patriots
28%
Draws
50%
FK Beograd
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: FK Beograd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FK Beograd come out ahead of Playford Patriots on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on FK Beograd taking it.
  • Regular NPL South Australia form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Playford Patriots Clean Sheet 11%
FK Beograd Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Playford Patriots FK Beograd
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 14
Draws 6 4
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1 2
Goals Conceded 1.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 NPL South Australia
Playford Patriots vs FK Beograd
0:1
Mar 27, 2026 NPL South Australia
FK Beograd vs Playford Patriots
2:2
Jul 5, 2025 NPL South Australia
FK Beograd vs Playford Patriots
1:0
Apr 12, 2025 NPL South Australia
Playford Patriots vs FK Beograd
1:0
Feb 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Playford Patriots vs FK Beograd
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Playford Patriots Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

FK Beograd Compare

Top Goalscorer Atkinson D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Playford Patriots 22 / 100
FK Beograd 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Playford Patriots FK Beograd

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Playford Patriots found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

FK Beograd's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Playford Patriots stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Playford Patriots VS FK Beograd
1 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1MetroStars18114348:1937
2West Torrens Birkalla18113445:2636
3Adelaide City18106235:1636
4FK Beograd1893631:2130
5Playford Patriots1885536:2629
6Croydon1884640:3228
7Adelaide Utd U231867524:2425
8Sturt Lions FC18711030:3022
9Campbelltown City1864828:2922
10West Adelaide1847733:3419
11Adelaide Comets18341119:3513
12Para1802169:862