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Playford Patriots vs West Adelaide

Australia Australia

NPL South Australia Ramsay Park
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Ivanic M.
52' Event
Stam R.
59' Event
Bandjak A.

AI Match Summary

The NPL South Australia game between Playford Patriots and West Adelaide finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward West Adelaide.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Playford Patriots
20%
Draws
38%
West Adelaide
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Playford Patriots

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Playford Patriots come out ahead of West Adelaide on wins alone.
  • Playford Patriots are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Playford Patriots Clean Sheet 10%
West Adelaide Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Playford Patriots West Adelaide
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 10
Draws 6 8
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 NPL South Australia
Playford Patriots vs West Adelaide
1:4
Jul 20, 2024 SA State League
Playford Patriots vs West Adelaide
2:1
Apr 27, 2024 SA State League
West Adelaide vs Playford Patriots
1:5
Aug 6, 2022 SA State League
West Adelaide vs Playford Patriots
3:3
May 14, 2022 SA State League
Playford Patriots vs West Adelaide
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Playford Patriots Compare

Top Goalscorer Ryan D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

West Adelaide Compare

Top Goalscorer Ivanic M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Stam R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Playford Patriots 40 / 100
West Adelaide 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Playford Patriots West Adelaide

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Playford Patriots found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

West Adelaide has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Playford Patriots has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Playford Patriots VS West Adelaide
1 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1MetroStars17114248:1837
2West Torrens Birkalla18113445:2636
3Adelaide City17105233:1435
4FK Beograd1793531:1930
5Croydon1783638:3027
6Playford Patriots1775535:2626
7Campbelltown City1864828:2922
8Adelaide Utd U231757522:2422
9Sturt Lions FC17701030:3021
10West Adelaide1746733:3418
11Adelaide Comets18341119:3513
12Para1802169:862