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Plaza Colonia vs Fenix

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division Parque Cincuentenario Juan Prandi
Our Tip

Match Events

66'
Pachame S.
90' Event
Colman G.

AI Match Summary

Fenix in this Segunda Division matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fenix.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Plaza Colonia
30%
Draws
34%
Fenix
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Plaza Colonia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Fenix average 1.63 goals a game right now, well clear of Plaza Colonia's 1.
  • Win probability leans Plaza Colonia's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Plaza Colonia Clean Sheet 68%
Fenix Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Plaza Colonia Fenix
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 5 8
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Segunda Division
Plaza Colonia vs Fenix
0:1
Oct 13, 2023 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Fenix vs Plaza Colonia
1:4
Jun 24, 2023 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Plaza Colonia vs Fenix
1:1
Mar 6, 2023 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Plaza Colonia vs Fenix
3:1
Sep 5, 2022 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Fenix vs Plaza Colonia
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Plaza Colonia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Fenix Compare

Top Goalscorer Colman G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Plaza Colonia 46 / 100
Fenix 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Plaza Colonia Fenix

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Plaza Colonia found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Fenix let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Plaza Colonia went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Plaza Colonia VS Fenix
1 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atenas1061318:1119
2Cerrito1053215:1318
3River Plate Montevideo1052317:1617
4Colon1043310:915
5Rentistas1042411:1314
6Tacuarembo104248:1014
7Fenix1034314:1213
8Miramar1034314:1213
9La Luz103438:813
10Plaza Colonia1041510:1113
11Club Oriental De Futbol1026215:1312
12Huracan FC103348:1212
13Paysandu FC1031612:1510
14Uruguay Montevideo FC1022610:158