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Plaza Colonia vs Miramar Prediction & H2H Stats

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division Parque Cincuentenario Juan Prandi, Colonia del Sacramento
Our Tip

Match Events

61' Event
Garcia P.
65'
Abatte B.
73'
Ortiz P.

AI Match Summary

Plaza Colonia in this Segunda Division matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Plaza Colonia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Plaza Colonia
30%
Draws
33%
Miramar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Plaza Colonia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Miramar haven't matched Plaza Colonia's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Plaza Colonia's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Segunda Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Plaza Colonia Clean Sheet 20%
Miramar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Plaza Colonia Miramar
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 6
Draws 7 9
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.36 0.89
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Segunda Division
Plaza Colonia vs Miramar
3:0
Mar 22, 2026 Segunda Division
Miramar vs Plaza Colonia
0:2
Aug 3, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Plaza Colonia vs Miramar
1:3
Feb 2, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Miramar vs Plaza Colonia
0:1
Sep 1, 2018 Segunda Division
Miramar vs Plaza Colonia
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Plaza Colonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pereira I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Miramar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Plaza Colonia 36 / 100
Miramar 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Plaza Colonia Miramar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Miramar has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Plaza Colonia's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Plaza Colonia has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Plaza Colonia VS Miramar
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Plaza Colonia

(Home)
30 Sept
Defensor Sp.
0 : 1
Plaza Colonia
27 Sept
Atenas
0 : 0
Plaza Colonia
19 Sept
Plaza Colonia
1 : 1
Paysandu FC
16 Sept
Rentistas
2 : 1
Plaza Colonia
12 Sept
Huracan FC
1 : 2
Plaza Colonia
Page 1 of 6

Miramar

(Away)
27 Sept
Huracan FC
2 : 1
Miramar
19 Sept
Miramar
1 : 0
Uruguay Montevideo FC
12 Sept
Club Oriental De Futbol
1 : 3
Miramar
05 Sept
Miramar
0 : 1
Colon
30 Aug
Fenix
1 : 1
Miramar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atenas 20 11 4 5 29:18 37
2 Plaza Colonia 20 9 5 6 25:18 32
3 Club Oriental De Futbol 20 8 7 5 29:22 31
4 River Plate Montevideo 20 8 6 6 29:23 30
5 Rentistas 20 8 6 6 24:22 30
6 Colon 20 8 5 7 20:23 29
7 Fenix 20 6 8 6 25:24 26
8 Cerrito 20 6 8 6 24:23 26
9 Huracan FC 20 7 5 8 21:26 26
10 Paysandu FC 20 7 4 9 26:27 25
11 Tacuarembo 20 6 6 8 16:22 24
12 La Luz 20 6 6 8 16:22 24
13 Miramar 20 5 7 8 22:26 22
14 Uruguay Montevideo FC 20 4 5 11 19:29 17
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya 2027 (Apertura)