Sport Picks
Plaza Colonia vs River Plate Montevideo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Uruguay
Segunda Division Parque Cincuentenario Juan Prandi, Colonia del Sacramento 
Match Events
44'
44'
Gonzalez N.
62'
62'
Gonzalez N.
90'
90'
Rodriguez I.
AI Match Summary
The Segunda Division game between Plaza Colonia and River Plate Montevideo finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Plaza Colonia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Plaza Colonia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Plaza Colonia come out ahead of River Plate Montevideo on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Regular Segunda Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Plaza Colonia Clean Sheet 20%
River Plate Montevideo Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Plaza Colonia | River Plate Montevideo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.24 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 18, 2026 Segunda Division
Plaza Colonia vs River Plate Montevideo
2:1
Jul 11, 2026 Segunda Division
River Plate Montevideo vs Plaza Colonia
3:2
Mar 28, 2026 Segunda Division
Plaza Colonia vs River Plate Montevideo
3:0
Sep 28, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Plaza Colonia vs River Plate Montevideo
1:1
Jun 19, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Plaza Colonia vs River Plate Montevideo
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Plaza Colonia Compare
Top Goalscorer Gonzalez N.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
River Plate Montevideo Compare
Top Goalscorer Rodriguez I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Plaza Colonia 36 / 100
River Plate Montevideo 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Plaza Colonia River Plate Montevideo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick River Plate Montevideo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Plaza Colonia scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
River Plate Montevideo let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Plaza Colonia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Plaza Colonia VS River Plate Montevideo
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Plaza Colonia
(Home) 18 Oct
Plaza Colonia
2 : 1 River Plate Montevideo
11 Oct
La Luz
1 : 1 Plaza Colonia
07 Oct
Plaza Colonia
0 : 1 Juventud
04 Oct
Plaza Colonia
1 : 3 Cerrito
30 Sept
Defensor Sp.
0 : 1 Plaza Colonia
Page 1 of 6
18 Oct
Plaza Colonia
2 : 1 River Plate Montevideo
07 Oct
Plaza Colonia
0 : 1 Juventud
04 Oct
Plaza Colonia
1 : 3 Cerrito
19 Sept
Plaza Colonia
1 : 1 Paysandu FC
07 Sept
Plaza Colonia
1 : 0 Uruguay Montevideo FC
Page 1 of 3
River Plate Montevideo
(Away) 18 Oct
Plaza Colonia
2 : 1 River Plate Montevideo
14 Oct
Boston River
1 : 0 River Plate Montevideo
10 Oct
River Plate Montevideo
3 : 1 Club Oriental De Futbol
04 Oct
La Luz
3 : 2 River Plate Montevideo
26 Sept
River Plate Montevideo
3 : 0 Colon
Page 1 of 6
18 Oct
Plaza Colonia
2 : 1 River Plate Montevideo
14 Oct
Boston River
1 : 0 River Plate Montevideo
04 Oct
La Luz
3 : 2 River Plate Montevideo
20 Sept
Cerrito
1 : 1 River Plate Montevideo
16 Sept
Albion
0 : 0 River Plate Montevideo
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atenas | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 31:22 | 41 |
| 2 | Plaza Colonia | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 30:24 | 37 |
| 3 | Rentistas | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 30:25 | 36 |
| 4 | Colon | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 26:24 | 36 |
| 5 | River Plate Montevideo | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 36:31 | 33 |
| 6 | Club Oriental De Futbol | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 31:26 | 33 |
| 7 | Cerrito | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 29:26 | 32 |
| 8 | Paysandu FC | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 29:29 | 31 |
| 9 | La Luz | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 21:25 | 31 |
| 10 | Fenix | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 27:25 | 30 |
| 11 | Miramar | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 25:27 | 29 |
| 12 | Huracan FC | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 22:31 | 27 |
| 13 | Tacuarembo | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 18:27 | 25 |
| 14 | Uruguay Montevideo FC | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23:36 | 21 |
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya 2027 (Apertura)
