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Plaza Colonia vs Tacuarembo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division Parque Cincuentenario Juan Prandi, Colonia del Sacramento
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
10:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Plaza Colonia host Tacuarembo in the Segunda Division. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Plaza Colonia have averaged 1.26 scored and 0.94 conceded recently, against Tacuarembo's 0.76 scored and 1.21 conceded. Past meetings favor Plaza Colonia slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 25, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 0.94, favoring Plaza Colonia. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Plaza Colonia
30%
Draws
16%
Tacuarembo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Plaza Colonia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Tacuarembo haven't matched Plaza Colonia's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Plaza Colonia a 54% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Plaza Colonia have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Plaza Colonia Clean Sheet 68%
Tacuarembo Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Plaza Colonia Tacuarembo
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 14 6
Draws 8 9
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.26 0.76
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Segunda Division
Tacuarembo vs Plaza Colonia
0:2
Aug 17, 2024 Segunda Division
Plaza Colonia vs Tacuarembo
1:0
May 19, 2024 Segunda Division
Tacuarembo vs Plaza Colonia
0:1
Aug 5, 2018 Segunda Division
Tacuarembo vs Plaza Colonia
0:1
Mar 10, 2018 Segunda Division
Plaza Colonia vs Tacuarembo
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Plaza Colonia 50 / 100
Tacuarembo 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Plaza Colonia Tacuarembo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Plaza Colonia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Plaza Colonia's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Tacuarembo conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Plaza Colonia remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Tacuarembo registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Plaza Colonia VS Tacuarembo
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Plaza Colonia

(Home)
18 Oct
Plaza Colonia
2 : 1
River Plate Montevideo
11 Oct
La Luz
1 : 1
Plaza Colonia
07 Oct
Plaza Colonia
0 : 1
Juventud
04 Oct
Plaza Colonia
1 : 3
Cerrito
30 Sept
Defensor Sp.
0 : 1
Plaza Colonia
Page 1 of 7

Tacuarembo

(Away)
17 Oct
Tacuarembo
0 : 1
La Luz
10 Oct
Cerrito
2 : 1
Tacuarembo
03 Oct
Tacuarembo
0 : 1
Atenas
28 Sept
Paysandu FC
2 : 2
Tacuarembo
20 Sept
Tacuarembo
1 : 1
Huracan FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atenas 23 12 5 6 31:22 41
2 Plaza Colonia 23 10 6 7 29:23 36
3 Rentistas 23 10 6 7 30:25 36
4 Colon 23 10 6 7 26:24 36
5 River Plate Montevideo 23 9 6 8 35:29 33
6 Club Oriental De Futbol 23 8 9 6 31:26 33
7 Cerrito 23 8 8 7 29:26 32
8 Paysandu FC 23 9 4 10 29:29 31
9 La Luz 23 8 7 8 21:25 31
10 Fenix 23 7 9 7 27:25 30
11 Miramar 23 7 8 8 25:27 29
12 Huracan FC 23 7 6 10 22:31 27
13 Tacuarembo 23 6 6 11 17:26 24
14 Uruguay Montevideo FC 23 4 6 13 21:35 18
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya 2027 (Apertura)