Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Plock II vs GKS Belchatow

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Bielka A.
(Penalty)
51' Event
Bielka A.
60' Event
Wronski L.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 game between Plock II and GKS Belchatow finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Plock II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Plock II
20%
Draws
40%
GKS Belchatow
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Plock II come out ahead of GKS Belchatow on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Plock II have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 49%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Plock II Clean Sheet 10%
GKS Belchatow Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Plock II GKS Belchatow
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 8
Draws 7 6
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.87 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.64 1.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Plock II vs GKS Belchatow
4:1
Nov 15, 2025 III Liga - Group I
GKS Belchatow vs Plock II
3:4
Jun 7, 2025 III Liga - Group I
GKS Belchatow vs Plock II
3:4
Nov 16, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Plock II vs GKS Belchatow
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Plock II Compare

Top Goalscorer Bielka A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Blaszkiewicz K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.26
Avg xA / game 0.82

GKS Belchatow Compare

Top Goalscorer Wronski L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.03

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Plock II 34 / 100
GKS Belchatow 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Plock II GKS Belchatow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GKS Belchatow Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Plock II found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: GKS Belchatow conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.75 goals per match.

Solid form: Plock II remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Plock II VS GKS Belchatow
1.88 Goals Scored 2.2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.4
88% Over 1.5 60%
63% Over 2.5 60%
38% Over 3.5 60%

Recent Form & Match History

Plock II

(Home)
25 Sept
Plock II
2 : 1
Jagiellonia II
19 Sept
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
3 : 2
Plock II
12 Sept
Plock II
2 : 2
LKS Lodz II
06 Sept
Widzew Lodz II
0 : 2
Plock II
01 Sept
Plock II
0 : 2
Puszcza
Page 1 of 6

GKS Belchatow

(Away)
31 Jul
GKS Belchatow
3 : 2
Gornik Konin
22 Jul
GKS Belchatow
4 : 4
RKS Rakow Czestochowa II
18 Jul
GKS Belchatow
4 : 1
Tluchowo
11 Jul
GKS Belchatow
1 : 2
Polonia Nysa
30 May
Plock II
4 : 1
GKS Belchatow
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Legia II 34 27 3 4 82:29 84
2 LKS Lomza 34 22 5 7 77:31 71
3 Warta Sieradz 34 21 8 5 64:34 71
4 Suwalki 34 20 5 9 64:43 65
5 Troszyn 34 17 6 11 75:47 57
6 Plock II 34 16 8 10 56:51 56
7 Widzew Lodz II 34 17 3 14 70:64 54
8 Jagiellonia II 34 14 7 13 46:45 49
9 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 34 13 8 13 64:55 47
10 Zabkovia Zabki 34 13 5 16 72:64 44
11 Swit Mazowiecki 34 12 5 17 51:66 41
12 MKS Mlawa 34 11 7 16 55:59 40
13 Olimpia Elblag 34 10 8 16 45:61 38
14 GKS Wikielec 34 10 7 17 40:54 37
15 Bron Radom 34 9 9 16 40:57 36
16 GKS Belchatow 34 9 7 18 50:76 34
17 Wasilkow 34 7 4 23 40:79 25
18 Znicz Biala Piska 34 4 3 27 27:103 15
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)