Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Plock II vs GKS Belchatow

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Bielka A.
(Penalty)
51' Event
Bielka A.
60' Event
Wronski L.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 game between Plock II and GKS Belchatow finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Plock II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Plock II
6%
Draws
4%
GKS Belchatow
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Plock II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Plock II come out ahead of GKS Belchatow on wins alone.
  • Model gives Plock II a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Plock II have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Plock II Clean Sheet 20%
GKS Belchatow Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Plock II GKS Belchatow
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 8
Draws 9 6
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1.5 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Plock II vs GKS Belchatow
4:1
Nov 15, 2025 III Liga - Group I
GKS Belchatow vs Plock II
3:4
Jun 7, 2025 III Liga - Group I
GKS Belchatow vs Plock II
3:4
Nov 16, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Plock II vs GKS Belchatow
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Plock II Compare

Top Goalscorer Bielka A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Blaszkiewicz K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

GKS Belchatow Compare

Top Goalscorer Wronski L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Plock II 85 / 100
GKS Belchatow 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Plock II GKS Belchatow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WIS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Plock II found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: GKS Belchatow conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.75 goals per match.

Solid form: Plock II remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Plock II VS GKS Belchatow
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Plock II

(Home)
22 Jul
Plock II
3 : 2
Pelikan
18 Jul
Plock II
3 : 1
Wisla Dobrzyn
11 Jul
Plock II
0 : 1
Chemik Bydgoszcz
30 May
Plock II
4 : 1
GKS Belchatow
23 May
Swit Mazowiecki
2 : 3
Plock II
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GKS Belchatow

(Away)
22 Jul
GKS Belchatow
4 : 4
RKS Rakow Czestochowa II
18 Jul
GKS Belchatow
4 : 1
Tluchowo
11 Jul
GKS Belchatow
1 : 2
Polonia Nysa
30 May
Plock II
4 : 1
GKS Belchatow
23 May
GKS Belchatow
1 : 2
Jagiellonia II
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Legia II34273482:2984
2LKS Lomza34225777:3171
3Warta Sieradz34218564:3471
4Suwalki34205964:4365
5Troszyn341761175:4757
6Plock II341681056:5156
7Widzew Lodz II341731470:6454
8Jagiellonia II341471346:4549
9Tomaszow Mazowiecki341381364:5547
10Zabkovia Zabki341351672:6444
11Swit Mazowiecki341251751:6641
12MKS Mlawa341171655:5940
13Olimpia Elblag341081645:6138
14GKS Wikielec341071740:5437
15Bron Radom34991640:5736
16GKS Belchatow34971850:7634
17Wasilkow34742340:7925
18Znicz Biala Piska34432727:10315
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)