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Plock II vs LKS Lomza - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Kijek L.
76' Event
Koscielecki M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this III Liga - Group I matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Plock II
20%
Draws
10%
LKS Lomza
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Plock II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Plock II lately — more wins on the board than LKS Lomza.
  • Plock II are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group I form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Plock II Clean Sheet 16%
LKS Lomza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Plock II LKS Lomza
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 13 9
Draws 7 4
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.72 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Plock II vs LKS Lomza
1:1
Mar 14, 2026 III Liga - Group I
LKS Lomza vs Plock II
1:2
Aug 27, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Plock II vs LKS Lomza
2:1
Mar 8, 2025 III Liga - Group I
LKS Lomza vs Plock II
0:0
Aug 17, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Plock II vs LKS Lomza
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Plock II Compare

Top Goalscorer Koscielecki M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

LKS Lomza Compare

Top Goalscorer Kijek L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Plock II 84 / 100
LKS Lomza 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Plock II LKS Lomza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Plock II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Plock II scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

LKS Lomza's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Plock II has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Plock II VS LKS Lomza
2 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Plock II

(Home)
03 Oct
Suwalki
1 : 0
Plock II
25 Sept
Plock II
2 : 1
Jagiellonia II
19 Sept
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
3 : 2
Plock II
12 Sept
Plock II
2 : 2
LKS Lodz II
06 Sept
Widzew Lodz II
0 : 2
Plock II
Page 1 of 6

LKS Lomza

(Away)
03 Oct
LKS Lomza
0 : 2
Olimpia Elblag
25 Sept
Swit Mazowiecki
4 : 0
LKS Lomza
18 Sept
LKS Lomza
0 : 2
Zabkovia Zabki
12 Sept
Troszyn
1 : 1
LKS Lomza
05 Sept
LKS Lomza
1 : 2
Jagiellonia II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTS Weszlo 11 8 2 1 24:10 26
2 Suwalki 11 6 4 1 19:10 22
3 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 11 6 3 2 27:18 21
4 Pelikan 11 6 2 3 17:13 20
5 Swit Mazowiecki 11 6 2 3 20:12 20
6 Plock II 11 5 3 3 22:18 18
7 Zabkovia Zabki 10 5 1 4 19:18 16
8 Jagiellonia II 10 4 3 3 22:20 15
9 Warta Sieradz 10 4 3 3 18:16 15
10 Widzew Lodz II 10 4 2 4 21:18 14
11 Olimpia Zambrow 11 4 2 5 23:27 14
12 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 11 4 1 6 21:23 13
13 Olimpia Elblag 11 4 1 6 16:20 13
14 LKS Lodz II 10 3 2 5 16:19 11
15 MKS Mlawa 11 3 1 7 22:32 10
16 Lidzbark Warmimski 11 2 3 6 16:22 9
17 Troszyn 10 1 4 5 12:24 7
18 LKS Lomza 11 0 3 8 10:25 3
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)