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Plus Ultra vs Ciudad de Murcia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Martinez F.
20' Event
Alvarez C.
32' Event
Galvez F.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 game between Plus Ultra and Ciudad de Murcia finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Plus Ultra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Plus Ultra
30%
Draws
58%
Ciudad de Murcia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ciudad de Murcia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Ciudad de Murcia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Ciudad de Murcia taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Plus Ultra Clean Sheet 10%
Ciudad de Murcia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Plus Ultra Ciudad de Murcia
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 5 6
Draws 2 8
Losses 29 16
Goals Scored 0.92 0.83
Goals Conceded 2.69 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Plus Ultra vs Ciudad de Murcia
2:1
Oct 8, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad de Murcia vs Plus Ultra
5:1
Aug 17, 2022 Club Friendly
Plus Ultra vs Ciudad de Murcia
1:2
Jun 5, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Plus Ultra vs Ciudad de Murcia
0:0
May 2, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad de Murcia vs Plus Ultra
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Plus Ultra Compare

Top Goalscorer Alvarez C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Galvez F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Ciudad de Murcia Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Plus Ultra 10 / 100
Ciudad de Murcia 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Plus Ultra Ciudad de Murcia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ciudad de Murcia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ciudad de Murcia conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Plus Ultra scored in 56% of their last 36 outings.

Plus Ultra has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Plus Ultra VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
2.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Plus Ultra

(Home)
11 May
Plus Ultra
3 : 3
Caravaca
04 May
Minerva
4 : 0
Plus Ultra
27 Apr
Plus Ultra
1 : 2
Muleno CF
20 Apr
E.G. El Palmar
5 : 0
Plus Ultra
12 Apr
Plus Ultra
0 : 1
Molinense
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Ciudad de Murcia

(Away)
12 May
Ciudad de Murcia
0 : 1
Montecasillas
05 May
CA Pulpileno
1 : 0
Ciudad de Murcia
01 May
Ciudad de Murcia
3 : 1
Racing Murcia
27 Apr
Deportiva Minera
1 : 1
Ciudad de Murcia
21 Apr
Ciudad de Murcia
1 : 1
Balsicas Atletico
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportiva Minera 34 24 6 4 53:19 78
2 Real Murcia B 34 20 8 6 67:33 68
3 Ciudad Cieza 34 19 11 4 44:24 68
4 UCAM Murcia B 34 19 5 10 42:24 62
5 Caravaca 34 18 7 9 60:32 61
6 Lorca Deportiva 34 17 8 9 64:30 59
7 Molinense 34 18 5 11 60:34 59
8 CA Pulpileno 34 13 13 8 39:23 52
9 Muleno CF 34 12 7 15 37:42 43
10 Racing Murcia 34 11 7 16 36:51 40
11 Plus Ultra 34 12 2 20 43:56 38
12 E.G. El Palmar 34 9 9 16 33:52 36
13 Bullense 34 10 6 18 40:65 36
14 Balsicas Atletico 34 9 9 16 35:53 36
15 Alcantarilla 34 10 6 18 34:41 36
16 Ciudad de Murcia 34 7 9 18 28:43 30
17 CD Algar 34 7 8 19 31:65 29
18 Montecasillas 34 7 2 25 31:90 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 (Play Offs)