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Plus Ultra vs Molina

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Tercera Division - Group 13 2013/2014
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 13 2013/2014 game between Plus Ultra and Molina finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Plus Ultra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Plus Ultra
20%
Draws
64%
Molina
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Molina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Plus Ultra haven't matched Molina's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Molina's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 13 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Plus Ultra here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Plus Ultra Clean Sheet 10%
Molina Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Plus Ultra Molina
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 2 5
Draws 3 9
Losses 27 16
Goals Scored 0.75 0.9
Goals Conceded 2.72 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Plus Ultra vs Molina
4:0
Oct 5, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Molina vs Plus Ultra
1:1
Apr 27, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Plus Ultra vs Molina
3:0
Dec 11, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Molina vs Plus Ultra
0:1
May 5, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Plus Ultra vs Molina
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Plus Ultra 18 / 100
Molina 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Plus Ultra Molina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Molina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Molina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Molina lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Plus Ultra's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Plus Ultra VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
2.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Plus Ultra

(Home)
11 May
Plus Ultra
3 : 3
Caravaca
04 May
Minerva
4 : 0
Plus Ultra
27 Apr
Plus Ultra
1 : 2
Muleno CF
20 Apr
E.G. El Palmar
5 : 0
Plus Ultra
12 Apr
Plus Ultra
0 : 1
Molinense
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Molina

(Away)
04 Aug
Ciudad Cieza
3 : 1
Molina
14 May
Yeclano
1 : 1
Molina
09 May
Molina
1 : 2
Futbol Club Jumilla
03 May
Molina
0 : 5
E.G. El Palmar
26 Apr
Club Edeco Fortuna
0 : 3
Molina
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UCAM Murcia 36 28 4 4 71:15 88
2 Yeclano 36 23 6 7 78:34 75
3 Aguilas FC 36 23 4 9 71:33 73
4 Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC 36 21 7 8 75:38 70
5 La Union CF 35 20 6 9 75:32 66
6 Futbol Club Jumilla 36 20 4 12 69:56 64
7 Huercal-Overa CF 36 16 8 12 50:40 56
8 Deportiva Minera 36 15 11 10 59:49 56
9 Real Murcia B 36 13 9 14 57:54 48
10 Ciudad Cieza 36 13 6 17 54:64 45
11 Plus Ultra 35 13 5 17 46:57 44
12 E.G. El Palmar 36 11 10 15 49:55 43
13 Cartagena FC UCAM 36 12 6 18 46:69 42
14 Club Edeco Fortuna 36 11 6 19 43:66 39
15 Muleno CF 35 9 8 18 44:73 35
16 Molina 36 10 5 21 37:64 35
17 CA Pulpileno 36 8 8 20 35:60 32
18 Bullense 35 8 3 24 31:75 27
19 Club Olimpico de Totana 36 5 6 25 38:94 21
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)