Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 13 2015/2016 game between Plus Ultra and Pinatar finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
7%
35%
58%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pinatar
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Pinatar carry the better recent record into this one.
- Pinatar are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Plus Ultra Clean Sheet 10%
Pinatar Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Plus Ultra | Pinatar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 36 | 32 |
| Wins | 2 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 29 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.67 | 1.47 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.64 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.85 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 15, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Plus Ultra vs Pinatar
2:2
Jan 3, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Pinatar vs Plus Ultra
4:1
Mar 29, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Pinatar vs Plus Ultra
4:2
Nov 9, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Plus Ultra vs Pinatar
0:1
Feb 3, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Plus Ultra vs Pinatar
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Plus Ultra 10 / 100
Pinatar 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Plus Ultra Pinatar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pinatar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Pinatar let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.
Plus Ultra scored in 50% of their last 36 games.
Recent resilience: Plus Ultra stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Plus Ultra VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
2.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Plus Ultra
(Home) 11 May
Plus Ultra
3 : 3 Caravaca
04 May
Minerva
4 : 0 Plus Ultra
27 Apr
Plus Ultra
1 : 2 Muleno CF
20 Apr
E.G. El Palmar
5 : 0 Plus Ultra
12 Apr
Plus Ultra
0 : 1 Molinense
Page 1 of 8
11 May
Plus Ultra
3 : 3 Caravaca
27 Apr
Plus Ultra
1 : 2 Muleno CF
12 Apr
Plus Ultra
0 : 1 Molinense
05 Apr
Plus Ultra
0 : 1 CA Pulpileno
22 Mar
Plus Ultra
0 : 3 Lorca Deportiva
Page 1 of 4
Pinatar
(Away) 13 May
Pinatar
1 : 1 FC Cartagena SAD B
06 May
Yeclano
1 : 1 Pinatar
29 Apr
Pinatar
1 : 1 EDMF Churra
22 Apr
E.G. El Palmar
2 : 3 Pinatar
15 Apr
Pinatar
1 : 0 CA Pulpileno
Page 1 of 7
06 May
Yeclano
1 : 1 Pinatar
22 Apr
E.G. El Palmar
2 : 3 Pinatar
08 Apr
Huercal-Overa CF
2 : 1 Pinatar
25 Mar
Estudiantes de Murcia CF
2 : 3 Pinatar
18 Mar
UCAM Murcia B
2 : 1 Pinatar
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lorca Deportiva | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 64:16 | 78 |
| 2 | Aguilas FC | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 62:29 | 77 |
| 3 | E.G. El Palmar | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 71:30 | 66 |
| 4 | Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 58:39 | 63 |
| 5 | Yeclano | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 52:27 | 62 |
| 6 | La Union CF | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 51:38 | 59 |
| 7 | Huercal-Overa CF | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 42:41 | 50 |
| 8 | Real Murcia B | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 45:39 | 49 |
| 9 | Deportiva Minera | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 56:61 | 46 |
| 10 | Muleno CF | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 40:48 | 45 |
| 11 | Estudiantes de Murcia CF | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 50:42 | 41 |
| 12 | EDMF Churra | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 37:45 | 41 |
| 13 | Ciudad de Murcia | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 45:56 | 39 |
| 14 | CA Pulpileno | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 33:43 | 35 |
| 15 | Pinatar | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 41:59 | 31 |
| 16 | Plus Ultra | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35:55 | 31 |
| 17 | EF Alhama | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 39:69 | 26 |
| 18 | Caravaca | 34 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 29:113 | 16 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)
