Sport Picks

England

Southern League Premier South

Havant & Waterlooville

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Plymouth Parkway play Havant & Waterlooville in the Southern League Premier South. It looks like a close match. Recently, Plymouth Parkway averaged 1.69 goals scored and 2 conceded. Havant & Waterlooville averaged 1.97 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. In past meetings, Plymouth Parkway won 1, Havant & Waterlooville won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 11, 2026 ended 3:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Plymouth Parkway and 1.69 for Havant & Waterlooville. This points to a Havant & Waterlooville double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%

Plymouth Parkway

26%

Draws

37%

Havant & Waterlooville

Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Havant & Waterlooville

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence

Plymouth Parkway picked up more points recently compared to Havant & Waterlooville.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.69 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 89%

Over 2.5 Goals 68%

Over 3.5 Goals 41%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%

Plymouth Parkway Clean Sheet 13%

Havant & Waterlooville Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 80%

Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Plymouth Parkway	Havant & Waterlooville
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	13	14
Draws	4	5
Losses	12	11
Goals Scored	1.69	1.97
Goals Conceded	2	1.53
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Southern League Premier South

Plymouth Parkway vs Havant & Waterlooville

Possession: 56% - 57% Cards: 1 - 2

3:3

Sep 6, 2025 Southern League Premier South

Havant & Waterlooville vs Plymouth Parkway

Possession: 41% - 51% Cards: 1 - 1

1:0

Dec 28, 2024 Southern League Premier South

Plymouth Parkway vs Havant & Waterlooville

Possession: 45% - 51% Cards: 1 - 0

2:1

Aug 17, 2024 Southern League Premier South

Havant & Waterlooville vs Plymouth Parkway

Possession: 48% - 45% Cards: 3 - 2

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Plymouth Parkway Compare

Top Goalscorer Down T.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Veale J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 1

Havant & Waterlooville Compare

Top Goalscorer Seager R.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Taylor F.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.94

Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Plymouth Parkway 36 / 100

Havant & Waterlooville 35 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Plymouth Parkway Havant & Waterlooville

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Havant & Waterlooville or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +27.6%

3.45

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.5%

1.61

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Plymouth Parkway attacking → ← attacking Havant & Waterlooville

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Plymouth Parkway scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Havant & Waterlooville let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Plymouth Parkway went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Havant & Waterlooville lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 47

2.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.13

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Walton & Hersham	42	29	5	8	94:42	92
2	Farnham	42	25	9	8	90:50	84
3	Gloucester City	42	25	7	10	93:51	82
4	Poole Town	42	21	12	9	80:50	75
5	Berkhamsted Town	42	21	9	12	62:50	72
6	Sholing	42	18	15	9	74:53	69
7	Chertsey Town	42	19	10	13	64:55	67
8	Gosport Borough	42	19	6	17	74:75	63
9	Uxbridge	42	15	14	13	74:70	59
10	Havant & Waterlooville	42	17	7	18	78:70	58
11	Plymouth Parkway	42	16	8	18	64:79	56
12	Bracknell Town	42	15	10	17	70:71	55
13	Yate	42	14	10	18	57:62	52
14	Hanwell Town	42	14	10	18	57:63	52
15	Wimborne	42	12	15	15	63:62	51
16	Taunton Town	42	14	9	19	65:70	51
17	Basingstoke	42	14	9	19	61:71	51
18	Evesham	42	11	14	17	51:62	47
19	Weymouth	42	13	8	21	53:71	47
20	Dorchester	42	9	13	20	48:79	40
21	Hungerford	42	9	11	22	47:87	38
22	Tiverton	42	5	3	34	39:115	18