Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Plymouth Parkway vs Havant & Waterlooville - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Southern League Premier South
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
McCallum P.
30' Event
Neal A.
(Penalty)
41' Event
Hall C.

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier South game between Plymouth Parkway and Havant & Waterlooville finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Plymouth Parkway.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Plymouth Parkway
20%
Draws
10%
Havant & Waterlooville
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Plymouth Parkway

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Plymouth Parkway come out ahead of Havant & Waterlooville on wins alone.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Plymouth Parkway taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Plymouth Parkway Clean Sheet 20%
Havant & Waterlooville Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Plymouth Parkway Havant & Waterlooville
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 18 5
Draws 4 5
Losses 6 17
Goals Scored 2.14 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.43 2.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Plymouth Parkway vs Havant & Waterlooville
2:1
Apr 11, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Plymouth Parkway vs Havant & Waterlooville
3:3
Sep 6, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Havant & Waterlooville vs Plymouth Parkway
1:0
Dec 28, 2024 Southern League Premier South
Plymouth Parkway vs Havant & Waterlooville
2:1
Aug 17, 2024 Southern League Premier South
Havant & Waterlooville vs Plymouth Parkway
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Plymouth Parkway Compare

Top Goalscorer Hall C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Havant & Waterlooville Compare

Top Goalscorer McCallum P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Plymouth Parkway 49 / 100
Havant & Waterlooville 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Plymouth Parkway Havant & Waterlooville

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Plymouth Parkway Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Plymouth Parkway found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Havant & Waterlooville conceded in 85% of 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Plymouth Parkway stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Plymouth Parkway VS Havant & Waterlooville
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Plymouth Parkway

(Home)
10 Oct
Chichester City
3 : 1
Plymouth Parkway
03 Oct
Plymouth Parkway
2 : 1
Horsham FC
29 Sept
Gloucester City
1 : 1
Plymouth Parkway
26 Sept
Plymouth Parkway
0 : 3
Bath City
22 Sept
Plymouth Parkway
2 : 0
Frome Town
Page 1 of 6

Havant & Waterlooville

(Away)
10 Oct
Wimborne
6 : 3
Havant & Waterlooville
29 Sept
Havant & Waterlooville
1 : 1
Hanwell Town
26 Sept
Havant & Waterlooville
2 : 3
Taunton Town
19 Sept
Bracknell Town
2 : 1
Havant & Waterlooville
12 Sept
Havant & Waterlooville
0 : 1
Poole Town
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poole Town 11 8 0 3 18:12 24
2 Uxbridge 10 7 2 1 20:8 23
3 Plymouth Parkway 10 6 2 2 24:11 20
4 Hanworth Villa 10 6 1 3 18:11 19
5 Bath City 10 5 2 3 14:10 17
6 Frome Town 11 4 4 3 18:14 16
7 Chichester City 10 5 1 4 17:17 16
8 Berkhamsted Town 11 5 1 5 14:14 16
9 Wimborne 9 4 3 2 16:7 15
10 Chertsey Town 10 4 3 3 22:17 15
11 Gosport Borough 11 4 3 4 15:14 15
12 Taunton Town 10 4 1 5 24:24 13
13 Evesham 10 4 1 5 14:18 13
14 Basingstoke 10 3 3 4 18:17 12
15 Yate 10 3 3 4 13:21 12
16 Sholing 9 3 2 4 10:13 11
17 Bracknell Town 10 3 2 5 11:19 11
18 Hanwell Town 9 2 4 3 9:11 10
19 Gloucester City 10 2 4 4 15:18 10
20 Chippenham Town 9 2 2 5 9:18 8
21 Havant & Waterlooville 10 1 2 7 12:22 5
22 Malvern Town 10 1 2 7 14:29 5
Promotion - National League South 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)