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Plymouth Parkway vs Poole Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Southern League Premier South
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Neal A.
68' Event
Hall C.

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier South game between Plymouth Parkway and Poole Town finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Plymouth Parkway.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Plymouth Parkway
15%
Draws
58%
Poole Town
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Poole Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Plymouth Parkway carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Poole Town are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Southern League Premier South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Plymouth Parkway Clean Sheet 19%
Poole Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Plymouth Parkway Poole Town
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 18 15
Draws 4 6
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 2.14 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Plymouth Parkway vs Poole Town
2:0
Jan 3, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Poole Town vs Plymouth Parkway
7:0
Oct 25, 2025 FA Trophy
Plymouth Parkway vs Poole Town
2:1
Aug 25, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Plymouth Parkway vs Poole Town
0:1
Mar 29, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Plymouth Parkway vs Poole Town
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Plymouth Parkway Compare

Top Goalscorer Neal A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hall C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Poole Town Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Plymouth Parkway 12 / 100
Poole Town 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Plymouth Parkway Poole Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Poole Town Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Plymouth Parkway's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Defensive concern: Poole Town conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Plymouth Parkway stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Plymouth Parkway VS Poole Town
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Plymouth Parkway

(Home)
10 Oct
Chichester City
3 : 1
Plymouth Parkway
03 Oct
Plymouth Parkway
2 : 1
Horsham FC
29 Sept
Gloucester City
1 : 1
Plymouth Parkway
26 Sept
Plymouth Parkway
0 : 3
Bath City
22 Sept
Plymouth Parkway
2 : 0
Frome Town
Page 1 of 6

Poole Town

(Away)
10 Oct
Poole Town
1 : 0
Bracknell Town
07 Oct
Gosport Borough
1 : 3
Poole Town
03 Oct
Poole Town
3 : 1
Evesham
29 Sept
Chertsey Town
1 : 3
Poole Town
26 Sept
Poole Town
1 : 0
Basingstoke
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poole Town 11 8 0 3 18:12 24
2 Uxbridge 10 7 2 1 20:8 23
3 Plymouth Parkway 10 6 2 2 24:11 20
4 Hanworth Villa 10 6 1 3 18:11 19
5 Bath City 10 5 2 3 14:10 17
6 Frome Town 11 4 4 3 18:14 16
7 Chichester City 10 5 1 4 17:17 16
8 Berkhamsted Town 11 5 1 5 14:14 16
9 Wimborne 9 4 3 2 16:7 15
10 Chertsey Town 10 4 3 3 22:17 15
11 Gosport Borough 11 4 3 4 15:14 15
12 Taunton Town 10 4 1 5 24:24 13
13 Evesham 10 4 1 5 14:18 13
14 Basingstoke 10 3 3 4 18:17 12
15 Yate 10 3 3 4 13:21 12
16 Sholing 9 3 2 4 10:13 11
17 Bracknell Town 10 3 2 5 11:19 11
18 Hanwell Town 9 2 4 3 9:11 10
19 Gloucester City 10 2 4 4 15:18 10
20 Chippenham Town 9 2 2 5 9:18 8
21 Havant & Waterlooville 10 1 2 7 12:22 5
22 Malvern Town 10 1 2 7 14:29 5
Promotion - National League South 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)