Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Plymouth U23 vs Portsmouth U23

England England

Premier League Cup 2018/2019 Home Park, Plymouth
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Plymouth U23 in this Premier League Cup 2018/2019 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Plymouth U23
17%
Draws
13%
Portsmouth U23
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Plymouth U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Portsmouth U23 lately — more wins on the board than Plymouth U23.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Plymouth U23 taking it.
  • Portsmouth U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Plymouth U23, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Plymouth U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Portsmouth U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Plymouth U23 Portsmouth U23
Matches Played 15 25
Wins 4 9
Draws 5 5
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.13 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.13 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2018 Premier League Cup
Plymouth U23 vs Portsmouth U23
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Plymouth U23 67 / 100
Portsmouth U23 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Plymouth U23 Portsmouth U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PLY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Plymouth U23 found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (15 games).

Portsmouth U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 25 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Portsmouth U23's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Plymouth U23 VS Portsmouth U23
1.13 Goals Scored 0.83
1.13 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 83%
38% Over 2.5 83%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Plymouth U23

(Home)
03 Sept
Plymouth U23
1 : 2
Exeter U23
25 Feb
Plymouth U23
1 : 4
Fulham U23
10 Feb
Plymouth U23
0 : 4
Everton U23
20 Jan
Watford U23
1 : 3
Plymouth U23
29 Nov
Fulham U23
2 : 0
Plymouth U23
Page 1 of 3

Portsmouth U23

(Away)
25 Feb
Portsmouth U23
0 : 3
Aston Villa U23
04 Feb
Exeter U23
2 : 1
Portsmouth U23
21 Jan
Portsmouth U23
2 : 4
Doncaster U23
09 Jan
Portsmouth U23
2 : 2
Exeter U23
29 Nov
Aston Villa U23
6 : 0
Portsmouth U23
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Newport U230
Notts County U236
Southend U231
Oxford Utd U232
Bristol Rovers U230
Exeter U231
Plymouth U232
Portsmouth U231