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Plzen vs Levski Sofia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Europa League Doosan Arena, Plzen
Thu, Oct 22, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Plzen host Levski Sofia in the Europa League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Plzen have averaged 1.81 scored and 1.46 conceded recently, against Levski Sofia's 2 scored and 0.67 conceded. Past meetings favor Plzen slightly — 2-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 10, 2014, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.25, favoring Levski Sofia. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Plzen
20%
Draws
51%
Levski Sofia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Levski Sofia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Levski Sofia have won more games recently than Plzen.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Plzen have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Plzen Clean Sheet 19%
Levski Sofia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Plzen Levski Sofia
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 10 17
Draws 8 7
Losses 8 3
Goals Scored 1.81 2
Goals Conceded 1.46 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2014 Club Friendly
Levski Sofia vs Plzen
0:3
Jan 30, 2013 Club Friendly
Levski Sofia vs Plzen
3:3
Feb 15, 2011 Club Friendly
Levski Sofia vs Plzen
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Plzen 32 / 100
Levski Sofia 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Plzen Levski Sofia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Plzen scored in 73% of their last 26 outings.

Levski Sofia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 41% of 27 matches.

Solid form: Plzen remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Plzen VS Levski Sofia
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Plzen

(Home)
10 Oct
Plzen
3 : 0
Mlada Boleslav
20 Sept
Slavia Prague
2 : 1
Plzen
17 Sept
Plzen
0 : 3
Royale Union SG
13 Sept
Plzen
2 : 3
Sigma Olomouc
09 Sept
Hradec Kralove
0 : 0
Plzen
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Levski Sofia

(Away)
11 Oct
Cherno More
0 : 2
Levski Sofia
17 Sept
Levski Sofia
0 : 1
Salzburg
13 Sept
Botev Vratsa
0 : 0
Levski Sofia
09 Sept
Levski Sofia
2 : 4
CSKA Sofia
05 Sept
Levski Sofia
1 : 0
CSKA 1948 Sofia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Juventus 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
2 Crystal Palace 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
3 Sparta Prague 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
4 Besiktas 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
5 Royale Union SG 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
6 Ferencvaros 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
7 Benfica 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
8 Bayer Leverkusen 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
9 OFI Crete 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
10 Bournemouth 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
11 Lyon 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
12 Torreense 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
13 Olympiacos Piraeus 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
14 Salzburg 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
15 Sunderland 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
16 Omonia 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
17 Sturm Graz 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
18 Rennes 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
19 Din. Zagreb 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
20 H. Beer Sheva 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
21 Jagiellonia 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
22 Real Sociedad 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
23 Anderlecht 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
24 Lillestrom 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
25 Celta Vigo 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
26 AZ Alkmaar 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
27 Levski Sofia 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
28 Celtic 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
29 Hoffenheim 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
30 AC Milan 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
31 Celje 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
32 Marseille 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
33 Ararat-Armenia 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
34 Plzen 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
35 Lech Poznan 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
36 Nijmegen 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)