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Pniowek Pawlowice vs BKS Sparta Katowice

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Wlodarczyk C.

AI Match Summary

BKS Sparta Katowice in this III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored BKS Sparta Katowice.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Pniowek Pawlowice
6%
Draws
90%
BKS Sparta Katowice
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: BKS Sparta Katowice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Pniowek Pawlowice haven't matched BKS Sparta Katowice's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on BKS Sparta Katowice taking it.
  • Regular III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • BKS Sparta Katowice have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Pniowek Pawlowice Clean Sheet 10%
BKS Sparta Katowice Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pniowek Pawlowice BKS Sparta Katowice
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 6 16
Draws 3 5
Losses 23 9
Goals Scored 0.29 1.88
Goals Conceded 3.29 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.29 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.29 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Pniowek Pawlowice vs BKS Sparta Katowice
0:1
Oct 11, 2025 III Liga - Group III
BKS Sparta Katowice vs Pniowek Pawlowice
3:2
Jul 23, 2022 Club Friendly
BKS Sparta Katowice vs Pniowek Pawlowice
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pniowek Pawlowice Compare

Avg xG / game 0.22
Avg xA / game 0.14

BKS Sparta Katowice Compare

Top Goalscorer Wlodarczyk C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pniowek Pawlowice 10 / 100
BKS Sparta Katowice 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pniowek Pawlowice BKS Sparta Katowice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BKS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

BKS Sparta Katowice's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Pniowek Pawlowice scored in 50% of their last 32 outings.

Difficult form: BKS Sparta Katowice registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pniowek Pawlowice VS BKS Sparta Katowice
0.29 Goals Scored 1.88
3.29 Goals Conceded 0.63
71% Over 1.5 50%
43% Over 2.5 50%
43% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pniowek Pawlowice

(Home)
30 May
Warta Gorzow
2 : 0
Pniowek Pawlowice
23 May
Pniowek Pawlowice
2 : 4
Sleza Wroclaw
16 May
Legnica II
6 : 0
Pniowek Pawlowice
13 May
Pniowek Pawlowice
0 : 7
Polkowice
09 May
Zielona Gora
1 : 0
Pniowek Pawlowice
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BKS Sparta Katowice

(Away)
25 Jul
Widzew Lodz II
0 : 5
BKS Sparta Katowice
24 Jul
Szombierki Bytom
4 : 2
BKS Sparta Katowice
18 Jul
BKS Sparta Katowice
4 : 2
Havirov
10 Jul
BKS Sparta Katowice
2 : 0
FK Frydek-Mistek
08 Jul
Tychy
2 : 2
BKS Sparta Katowice
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zielona Gora342110377:1773
2Polkowice34207764:4267
3BKS Sparta Katowice34188853:3462
4Skra Czestochowa34178968:5659
5Zaglebie II341761177:6157
6Goczalkowice Zdroj341591049:4654
7Kluczbork341571267:4352
8Warta Gorzow341571254:4752
9Gornik Zabrze II341561373:4451
10Sleza Wroclaw341471349:5749
11Woliborz341391248:4948
12Carina Gubin3412111150:5147
13Legnica II341371463:5846
14Karkonosze Jelenia Gora341291357:5645
15Polonia Nysa349101551:5837
16Starowice Dolne34762133:8127
17Pniowek Pawlowice34542528:7719
18Stal Jasien34213121:1057
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)