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Stadium Background

Pniowek Pawlowice vs Skra Czestochowa

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Goszyc S.
34' Event
Golebiowski R.
40' Event
Goszyc S.

AI Match Summary

Skra Czestochowa in this III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Skra Czestochowa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Pniowek Pawlowice
6%
Draws
90%
Skra Czestochowa
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Skra Czestochowa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Skra Czestochowa lately — more wins on the board than Pniowek Pawlowice.
  • Model gives Skra Czestochowa a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Skra Czestochowa have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Pniowek Pawlowice Clean Sheet 10%
Skra Czestochowa Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pniowek Pawlowice Skra Czestochowa
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 6 16
Draws 3 3
Losses 23 11
Goals Scored 0.38 1.75
Goals Conceded 3.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Pniowek Pawlowice vs Skra Czestochowa
2:3
Sep 13, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Skra Czestochowa vs Pniowek Pawlowice
0:0
Apr 21, 2018 III Liga - Group III
Pniowek Pawlowice vs Skra Czestochowa
0:2
Sep 9, 2017 III Liga - Group III
Skra Czestochowa vs Pniowek Pawlowice
1:0
Apr 29, 2017 III Liga - Group III
Pniowek Pawlowice vs Skra Czestochowa
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pniowek Pawlowice Compare

Top Goalscorer Goszyc S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Skra Czestochowa Compare

Top Goalscorer Golebiowski R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sajdak P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pniowek Pawlowice 10 / 100
Skra Czestochowa 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pniowek Pawlowice Skra Czestochowa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SKR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Skra Czestochowa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Skra Czestochowa registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Pniowek Pawlowice's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Pniowek Pawlowice VS Skra Czestochowa
0.38 Goals Scored 1.75
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zielona Gora342110377:1773
2Polkowice34207764:4267
3BKS Sparta Katowice34188853:3462
4Skra Czestochowa34178968:5659
5Zaglebie II341761177:6157
6Goczalkowice Zdroj341591049:4654
7Kluczbork341571267:4352
8Warta Gorzow341571254:4752
9Gornik Zabrze II341561373:4451
10Sleza Wroclaw341471349:5749
11Woliborz341391248:4948
12Carina Gubin3412111150:5147
13Legnica II341371463:5846
14Karkonosze Jelenia Gora341291357:5645
15Polonia Nysa349101551:5837
16Starowice Dolne34762133:8127
17Pniowek Pawlowice34542528:7719
18Stal Jasien34213121:1057