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Pniowek Pawlowice vs Warta Gorzow

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event
Rybicki K.

AI Match Summary

Pniowek Pawlowice host Warta Gorzow in the III Liga - Group III 2025/2026. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Warta Gorzow have shipped 0.75 goals a game lately, while Pniowek Pawlowice have conceded 3.25 and scored 0.25. Head-to-head, Pniowek Pawlowice have won 1 to Warta Gorzow's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on May 30, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 0.50 vs 2.19, favoring Warta Gorzow. Warta Gorzow in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Pniowek Pawlowice
6%
Draws
90%
Warta Gorzow
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Warta Gorzow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Warta Gorzow has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Pniowek Pawlowice.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Warta Gorzow.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Pniowek Pawlowice Clean Sheet 10%
Warta Gorzow Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pniowek Pawlowice Warta Gorzow
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 3 13
Draws 2 5
Losses 21 10
Goals Scored 0.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 3.25 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.25 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Warta Gorzow vs Pniowek Pawlowice
2:0
Nov 15, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Pniowek Pawlowice vs Warta Gorzow
0:1
Apr 5, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Warta Gorzow vs Pniowek Pawlowice
4:0
Sep 7, 2024 III Liga - Group III
Pniowek Pawlowice vs Warta Gorzow
2:3
Apr 20, 2024 III Liga - Group III
Pniowek Pawlowice vs Warta Gorzow
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pniowek Pawlowice Compare

Avg xG / game 0.19
Avg xA / game 0.13

Warta Gorzow Compare

Top Goalscorer Rybicki K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pniowek Pawlowice 10 / 100
Warta Gorzow 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pniowek Pawlowice Warta Gorzow

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pniowek Pawlowice scored in 42% of their last 26 games.

Warta Gorzow let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Pniowek Pawlowice went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Warta Gorzow lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pniowek Pawlowice VS Warta Gorzow
0.25 Goals Scored 1.13
3.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zielona Gora342110377:1773
2Polkowice34207764:4267
3BKS Sparta Katowice34188853:3462
4Skra Czestochowa34178968:5659
5Zaglebie II341761177:6157
6Goczalkowice Zdroj341591049:4654
7Kluczbork341571267:4352
8Warta Gorzow341571254:4752
9Gornik Zabrze II341561373:4451
10Sleza Wroclaw341471349:5749
11Woliborz341391248:4948
12Carina Gubin3412111150:5147
13Legnica II341371463:5846
14Karkonosze Jelenia Gora341291357:5645
15Polonia Nysa349101551:5837
16Starowice Dolne34762133:8127
17Pniowek Pawlowice34542528:7719
18Stal Jasien34213121:1057