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Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod vs KDV Tomsk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod host KDV Tomsk in the FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod have averaged 1.96 scored and 1.54 conceded recently, against KDV Tomsk's 1.77 scored and 1.23 conceded. Head-to-head, Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod have won 1 to KDV Tomsk's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 20, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.44 - 1.56) back KDV Tomsk to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
15%
Draws
59%
KDV Tomsk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: KDV Tomsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to KDV Tomsk lately — more wins on the board than Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors KDV Tomsk here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod Clean Sheet 15%
KDV Tomsk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod KDV Tomsk
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 14 22
Draws 5 2
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.96 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
KDV Tomsk vs Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
2:1
Jun 28, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod vs KDV Tomsk
4:0
Apr 26, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
KDV Tomsk vs Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 31 / 100
KDV Tomsk 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod KDV Tomsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KDV Tomsk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.33 goals when they meet.

KDV Tomsk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod VS KDV Tomsk
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod

(Home)
04 Oct
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
1 : 2
Krylya Sovetov Samara 2
25 Sept
Dynamo Barnaul
2 : 2
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
20 Sept
KDV Tomsk
2 : 1
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
13 Sept
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
0 : 1
Khimik
06 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara 2
0 : 1
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
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KDV Tomsk

(Away)
04 Oct
KDV Tomsk
0 : 2
Khimik
27 Sept
Akron Togliatti 2
0 : 1
KDV Tomsk
20 Sept
KDV Tomsk
2 : 1
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
14 Sept
Dynamo Barnaul
1 : 2
KDV Tomsk
06 Sept
Khimik
2 : 1
KDV Tomsk
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