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Pobeda vs Napredok

World World

Club Friendly 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2021 game between Pobeda and Napredok finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pobeda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Pobeda
15%
Draws
85%
Napredok
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Napredok

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pobeda come out ahead of Napredok on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Napredok's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Pobeda Clean Sheet 10%
Napredok Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pobeda Napredok
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 4 3
Draws 2 3
Losses 25 23
Goals Scored 0.71 0.79
Goals Conceded 3.84 2.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.67 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2021 Club Friendly
Pobeda vs Napredok
3:0
Apr 28, 2009 1. MFL
Napredok vs Pobeda
1:1
Nov 23, 2008 1. MFL
Napredok vs Pobeda
2:0
Aug 31, 2008 1. MFL
Pobeda vs Napredok
1:0
May 11, 2008 1. MFL
Napredok vs Pobeda
4:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pobeda 10 / 100
Napredok 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pobeda Napredok

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Napredok Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Napredok conceded in 100% of 29 recent games.

Napredok's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Pobeda scored in 39% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pobeda VS Napredok
0.13 Goals Scored 0
3.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pobeda

(Home)
23 May
Bregalnica Stip
7 : 0
Pobeda
16 May
Pobeda
3 : 5
Vardar Negotino
10 May
Kozuf Gevgelija
8 : 0
Pobeda
02 May
Pobeda
0 : 3
Teteks
25 Apr
Pobeda
1 : 8
Osogovo
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Napredok

(Away)
24 Jan
Pobeda
3 : 0
Napredok
23 May
Vellazerimi
3 : 0
Napredok
16 May
Napredok
2 : 3
Drita
09 May
FK Skopje
4 : 0
Napredok
02 May
Napredok
0 : 1
Gorno Lisice
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