Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pobeda vs Osogovo

North Macedonia North Macedonia

2. MFL 2025/2026 Stadion Goce Delčev, Prilep
Pobeda Logo

Pobeda

1 - 8
FT
Osogovo Logo

Osogovo

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Osogovo in this 2. MFL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-8 — backing the pre-match view that favored Osogovo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Pobeda
20%
Draws
80%
Osogovo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Osogovo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Osogovo have won more games recently than Pobeda.
  • Model gives Osogovo a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Pobeda Clean Sheet 10%
Osogovo Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pobeda Osogovo
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 3 16
Draws 2 7
Losses 25 6
Goals Scored 0.63 1.97
Goals Conceded 3.97 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 3.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 2. MFL
Pobeda vs Osogovo
1:8
Nov 4, 2025 2. MFL
Osogovo vs Pobeda
6:0
May 3, 2025 2. MFL
Pobeda vs Osogovo
0:0
Nov 10, 2024 2. MFL
Osogovo vs Pobeda
4:1
Mar 5, 2024 2. MFL
Osogovo vs Pobeda
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pobeda 10 / 100
Osogovo 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pobeda Osogovo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Osogovo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Pobeda scored in 37% of their last 30 outings.

Osogovo let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

Osogovo lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pobeda VS Osogovo
0.75 Goals Scored 2.25
5.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
88% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pobeda

(Home)
23 May
Bregalnica Stip
7 : 0
Pobeda
16 May
Pobeda
3 : 5
Vardar Negotino
10 May
Kozuf Gevgelija
8 : 0
Pobeda
02 May
Pobeda
0 : 3
Teteks
25 Apr
Pobeda
1 : 8
Osogovo
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Osogovo

(Away)
24 Jul
Pobeda Valandovo
1 : 1
Osogovo
23 May
Novaci
3 : 3
Osogovo
16 May
Osogovo
0 : 3
Bregalnica Stip
10 May
Vardar Negotino
0 : 4
Osogovo
02 May
Osogovo
0 : 1
Kozuf Gevgelija
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bregalnica Stip 30 22 5 3 72:17 71
2 FK Skopje 30 23 2 5 72:20 71
3 Shkendija Haracine 30 21 6 3 67:19 69
4 Ohrid 30 21 5 4 78:17 68
5 Belasica Strumica 30 18 4 8 57:21 58
6 Osogovo 30 16 6 8 53:27 54
7 Novaci 30 15 6 9 47:31 51
8 Detonit Plackovica 30 14 7 9 52:28 49
9 Kozuf Gevgelija 30 12 9 9 50:26 45
10 Teteks 30 13 3 14 56:44 42
11 Kamenica Sasa 30 9 9 12 47:53 36
12 Vardar Negotino 30 6 4 20 37:95 22
13 Sloga Vinica 30 4 3 23 31:84 15
14 Prespa 30 5 0 25 30:76 15
15 Pobeda 30 3 2 25 19:117 11
16 Golemo Konjari 30 2 1 27 17:110 7
Promotion - 1. MFL (Main)
Promotion - 1. MFL 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2025/2026 (Relegation)