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Pobla Mafumet vs Horta

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 5 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 5 2020/2021 game between Pobla Mafumet and Horta finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pobla Mafumet.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Pobla Mafumet
15%
Draws
34%
Horta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pobla Mafumet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Pobla Mafumet carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 5 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Pobla Mafumet Clean Sheet 68%
Horta Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pobla Mafumet Horta
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 13 5
Draws 11 9
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.13 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Pobla Mafumet vs Horta
4:2
Apr 18, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Horta vs Pobla Mafumet
1:1
Jan 19, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Pobla Mafumet vs Horta
2:0
Aug 31, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Horta vs Pobla Mafumet
1:2
Mar 20, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Horta vs Pobla Mafumet
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pobla Mafumet 41 / 100
Horta 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pobla Mafumet Horta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pobla Mafumet Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Horta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Horta registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Pobla Mafumet scored in 55% of their last 40 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pobla Mafumet VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pobla Mafumet

(Home)
13 Sept
Pobla Mafumet
2 : 1
San Cristobal CP
05 Sept
Vilassar de Mar
1 : 0
Pobla Mafumet
12 May
L Hospitalet
2 : 0
Pobla Mafumet
05 May
Pobla Mafumet
2 : 0
UE Castelldefels
01 May
CF Badalona
3 : 0
Pobla Mafumet
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Horta

(Away)
25 Aug
Vilassar de Mar
3 : 1
Horta
22 Aug
Horta
2 : 3
UE Castelldefels
13 Jun
Horta
1 : 1
Valls
06 Jun
Igualada
3 : 1
Horta
30 May
Horta
1 : 0
Montanesa
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