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Pobla Mafumet vs La Jonquera Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 5 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pobla Mafumet in this Tercera Division - Group 5 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pobla Mafumet.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Pobla Mafumet
15%
Draws
53%
La Jonquera
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: La Jonquera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pobla Mafumet lately — more wins on the board than La Jonquera.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 5 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Pobla Mafumet Clean Sheet 20%
La Jonquera Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pobla Mafumet La Jonquera
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 11 6
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 0.95 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Pobla Mafumet vs La Jonquera
2:1
Sep 10, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
La Jonquera vs Pobla Mafumet
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pobla Mafumet 32 / 100
La Jonquera 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pobla Mafumet La Jonquera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Jonquera Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

La Jonquera has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Pobla Mafumet scored in 50% of their last 40 games.

Pobla Mafumet went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pobla Mafumet VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pobla Mafumet

(Home)
27 Sept
Pobla Mafumet
2 : 3
CF Vilanova
19 Sept
UE Tona
1 : 3
Pobla Mafumet
13 Sept
Pobla Mafumet
2 : 1
San Cristobal CP
05 Sept
Vilassar de Mar
1 : 0
Pobla Mafumet
12 May
L Hospitalet
2 : 0
Pobla Mafumet
Page 1 of 8

La Jonquera

(Away)
14 May
Santfeliuenc
0 : 1
La Jonquera
07 May
La Jonquera
0 : 0
Jupiter
30 Apr
FC Asco
0 : 2
La Jonquera
23 Apr
La Jonquera
2 : 1
Manlleu AEC
14 Apr
Olot
1 : 0
La Jonquera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olot 38 24 8 6 73:38 80
2 Peralada 38 24 5 9 68:27 77
3 Terrassa 38 19 9 10 48:26 66
4 FC Vilafranca 38 18 10 10 60:37 64
5 Sant Andreu 38 16 12 10 51:40 60
6 FC Asco 38 15 12 11 44:37 57
7 Pobla Mafumet 38 12 19 7 43:36 55
8 Granollers 38 14 8 16 47:54 50
9 UE Figueres 38 12 14 12 39:41 50
10 Vilassar de Mar 38 13 11 14 40:44 50
11 Palamos CF 38 13 10 15 49:55 49
12 CE Europa 38 11 14 13 28:32 47
13 Santfeliuenc 38 11 12 15 39:44 45
14 Cerdanyola del Valles 38 11 12 15 43:51 45
15 UE Castelldefels 38 11 9 18 34:51 42
16 La Jonquera 38 10 12 16 19:29 42
17 Montanesa 38 11 9 18 32:48 42
18 Manlleu AEC 38 8 16 14 41:59 40
19 Jupiter 38 7 14 17 32:52 35
20 Sabadell B 38 7 10 21 34:63 31
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)