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Pobla Mafumet vs Mollerussa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pobla Mafumet host Mollerussa in the Tercera RFEF - Group 5. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Pobla Mafumet have averaged 1 scored and 1.21 conceded recently, against Mollerussa's 1.04 scored and 1 conceded. Past meetings favor Pobla Mafumet slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 28, 2024, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 1.08 vs 1.06, favoring Mollerussa. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Pobla Mafumet
20%
Draws
33%
Mollerussa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pobla Mafumet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mollerussa come out ahead of Pobla Mafumet on wins alone.
  • Model gives Pobla Mafumet a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Pobla Mafumet Clean Sheet 20%
Mollerussa Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pobla Mafumet Mollerussa
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 10
Draws 5 9
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.21 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.08 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Pobla Mafumet vs Mollerussa
3:1
Sep 10, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Mollerussa vs Pobla Mafumet
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pobla Mafumet 58 / 100
Mollerussa 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pobla Mafumet Mollerussa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pobla Mafumet Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mollerussa let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Pobla Mafumet went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Pobla Mafumet scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pobla Mafumet VS Mollerussa
1.29 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
57% Over 1.5 50%
43% Over 2.5 50%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pobla Mafumet

(Home)
11 Oct
Pobla Mafumet
1 : 0
Cornella
04 Oct
CE Atletic Lleida
1 : 1
Pobla Mafumet
27 Sept
Pobla Mafumet
2 : 3
CF Vilanova
19 Sept
UE Tona
1 : 3
Pobla Mafumet
13 Sept
Pobla Mafumet
2 : 1
San Cristobal CP
Page 1 of 6

Mollerussa

(Away)
11 Oct
Mollerussa
1 : 0
Cerdanyola del Valles
27 Sept
Mollerussa
1 : 1
Cornella
20 Sept
CE Atletic Lleida
1 : 0
Mollerussa
13 Sept
Mollerussa
0 : 1
CF Vilanova
05 Sept
UE Tona
0 : 1
Mollerussa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pobla Mafumet 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
2 CF Badalona 5 3 0 2 10:4 9
3 Montanesa 5 3 0 2 7:4 9
4 CE Europa B 6 2 2 2 10:7 8
5 CF Vilanova 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
6 FC Martinenc 5 2 2 1 11:10 8
7 CE Atletic Lleida 6 2 2 2 7:8 8
8 FE Grama 5 2 1 2 6:4 7
9 FC Lescala 5 2 1 2 8:7 7
10 Mollerussa 5 2 1 2 3:3 7
11 San Cristobal CP 5 2 1 2 5:8 7
12 L Hospitalet 4 1 3 0 6:4 6
13 Cornella 5 1 3 1 6:5 6
14 UE Tona 6 2 0 4 5:9 6
15 San Juan Atletico de Montcada 5 2 0 3 5:10 6
16 Peralada 4 1 2 1 5:3 5
17 Cerdanyola del Valles 5 1 2 2 4:6 5
18 Vilassar de Mar 6 1 1 4 5:15 4
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 (Play Offs)