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Pobla Mafumet vs Peralada

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Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024
Pobla Mafumet Logo

Pobla Mafumet

0 - 1
FT
Peralada Logo

Peralada

Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Baro A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024 game between Pobla Mafumet and Peralada finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Peralada.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Pobla Mafumet
30%
Draws
35%
Peralada
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Peralada carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Peralada's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Peralada have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 54%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Pobla Mafumet Clean Sheet 26%
Peralada Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pobla Mafumet Peralada
Matches Played 31 35
Wins 9 12
Draws 6 12
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 0.94 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 0.90 0.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Pobla Mafumet vs Peralada
0:1
Nov 19, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Peralada vs Pobla Mafumet
2:0
Apr 2, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Peralada vs Pobla Mafumet
3:1
Nov 27, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Pobla Mafumet vs Peralada
0:1
Jan 9, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Pobla Mafumet vs Peralada
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pobla Mafumet Compare

Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.45

Peralada Compare

Top Goalscorer Baro A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pobla Mafumet 21 / 100
Peralada 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pobla Mafumet Peralada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Peralada Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Pobla Mafumet scored in 48% of their last 31 games.

Peralada's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 35 matches.

Recent resilience: Pobla Mafumet stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pobla Mafumet VS Peralada
0.67 Goals Scored 1
0.67 Goals Conceded 1.13
33% Over 1.5 75%
33% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pobla Mafumet

(Home)
13 Sept
Pobla Mafumet
2 : 1
San Cristobal CP
05 Sept
Vilassar de Mar
1 : 0
Pobla Mafumet
12 May
L Hospitalet
2 : 0
Pobla Mafumet
05 May
Pobla Mafumet
2 : 0
UE Castelldefels
01 May
CF Badalona
3 : 0
Pobla Mafumet
Page 1 of 7

Peralada

(Away)
13 Sept
Peralada
0 : 1
UE Tona
06 Sept
San Cristobal CP
1 : 1
Peralada
10 May
Peralada
5 : 0
Montanesa
03 May
Cerdanyola del Valles
2 : 2
Peralada
26 Apr
Peralada
1 : 1
Can Vidalet
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olot 34 24 7 3 55:20 79
2 L Hospitalet 34 22 3 9 56:28 69
3 Vilassar de Mar 34 17 9 8 41:27 60
4 CF Badalona 34 16 7 11 44:36 55
5 Prat 34 13 12 9 39:30 51
6 UE Tona 34 13 9 12 48:45 48
7 FC Lescala 34 14 6 14 57:59 48
8 Reus FC Reddis 34 12 10 12 31:28 46
9 Montanesa 34 13 7 14 32:39 46
10 FE Grama 34 13 6 15 41:47 45
11 Girona B 34 11 11 12 49:40 44
12 Mollerussa 34 12 7 15 33:46 43
13 San Cristobal CP 34 13 4 17 35:54 43
14 Peralada 34 11 9 14 34:34 42
15 Pobla Mafumet 34 10 8 16 31:39 38
16 FC Vilafranca 34 8 9 17 31:53 33
17 UE Castelldefels 34 7 9 18 30:47 30
18 UE Rapitenca 34 9 3 22 36:51 30
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024 (Play Offs)