Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pocheon vs Daejeon Korail

South Korea South Korea

Korean Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Lee J.
90' Event
Lee J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Pocheon
15%
Draws
31%
Daejeon Korail
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pocheon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Pocheon have won more games recently than Daejeon Korail.
  • Model gives Pocheon a 54% chance of winning this.
  • Pocheon have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Daejeon Korail, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Pocheon Clean Sheet 68%
Daejeon Korail Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pocheon Daejeon Korail
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 17 15
Draws 7 7
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 1.72 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 K3 League
Pocheon vs Daejeon Korail
1:1
Jul 4, 2026 Korean Cup
Pocheon vs Daejeon Korail
2:0
Apr 4, 2026 K3 League
Daejeon Korail vs Pocheon
0:1
Oct 26, 2025 K3 League
Daejeon Korail vs Pocheon
2:0
Jun 15, 2025 K3 League
Pocheon vs Daejeon Korail
2:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pocheon Compare

Top Goalscorer Lee J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Daejeon Korail Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pocheon 95 / 100
Daejeon Korail 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pocheon Daejeon Korail

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pocheon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pocheon scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Daejeon Korail's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Pocheon went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pocheon VS Daejeon Korail
2.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pocheon

(Home)
13 Sept
Yangpyeong
0 : 2
Pocheon
06 Sept
Pocheon
1 : 0
Yeoju Citizen
30 Aug
Siheung Citizen
3 : 2
Pocheon
22 Aug
Pocheon
2 : 0
Mokpo
15 Aug
Geoje
1 : 2
Pocheon
Page 1 of 6

Daejeon Korail

(Away)
11 Sept
Daejeon Korail
0 : 1
Ulsan Citizen
05 Sept
Changwon
0 : 1
Daejeon Korail
29 Aug
Daejeon Korail
2 : 1
Yangpyeong
23 Aug
Siheung Citizen
2 : 0
Daejeon Korail
25 Jul
Pocheon
1 : 1
Daejeon Korail
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Jeonnam -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chungnam Asan -
Daegu -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jincheon -
TBD -
TBD -
Siheung Citizen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Daejeon -
Ulsan Citizen -
TBD -
TBD -
Chuncheon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Seoul E-Land -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ulsan Hyundai -
Gwangju FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cheonan City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Yangsan United 1
Anseong Citizen 2
TBD -
Mokpo -
Pohang -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Busan Kyotong -
TBD -
TBD -
Gijang United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Suwon Bluewings -
Ansan Greeners -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jinju Citizen -
TBD -
TBD -
Sejong SA -
Seosan Pioneer -
TBD -
TBD -
Gyeongju KHNP -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cheongju -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Anyang -
Jeju SK -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hwaseong -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Yeonsu Songdo 0
Ulsan FC 4
TBD -
Yangpyeong -
Pyeongtaek Citizen -
TBD -
TBD -
Yeoju Citizen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gyeongnam -
Yongin FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Haman -
TBD -
TBD -
Dangjin Citizen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jeonbuk -
Namyangju -
TBD -
TBD -
Seoul Jungnang -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gimpo FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Incheon -
Gimcheon Sangmu -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Suwon FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cheongju Showking 3
Yangcheon TNT 9
TBD -
Pyeongchang United -
Gangwon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Changwon -
TBD -
TBD -
Geumsan Insam -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gimhae -
Seongnam -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Daejeon Korail -
TBD -
TBD -
Pocheon -
Busan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Incheon Seogot 2
Areum 1
TBD -
Geoje -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Seoul -
Bucheon FC 1995 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Paju Frontier -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jecheon Citizen -
TBD -
TBD -
Gangneung -
1/64-finals
Jeonnam -
TBD -
TBD -
Chungnam Asan -
Daegu -
TBD -
Jincheon 1
Siheung Citizen 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Daejeon -
Ulsan Citizen 2
Chuncheon 1
TBD -
Seoul E-Land -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ulsan Hyundai -
Gwangju FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cheonan City -
TBD -
Anseong Citizen 2
Mokpo 3
Pohang -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Busan Kyotong 2
Gijang United 1
TBD -
Suwon Bluewings -
Ansan Greeners -
TBD -
Jinju Citizen 2
Sejong SA 1
Seosan Pioneer 0
Gyeongju KHNP 3
TBD -
Cheongju -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Anyang -
Jeju SK -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hwaseong -
TBD -
Ulsan FC 1
Yangpyeong 5
Pyeongtaek Citizen 1
Yeoju Citizen 3
TBD -
Gyeongnam -
Yongin FC -
TBD -
Haman 0
Dangjin Citizen 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jeonbuk -
Namyangju 3
Seoul Jungnang 1
TBD -
Gimpo FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Incheon -
Gimcheon Sangmu -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Suwon FC -
TBD -
Yangcheon TNT 1
Pyeongchang United 2
Gangwon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Changwon 3
Geumsan Insam 0
TBD -
Gimhae -
Seongnam -
TBD -
Daejeon Korail 0
Pocheon 2
Busan -
TBD -
Incheon Seogot 0
Geoje 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Seoul -
Bucheon FC 1995 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Paju Frontier -
TBD -
Jecheon Citizen 0
Gangneung 2
1/32-finals
Jeonnam 3
Chungnam Asan 4
Daegu 0
Siheung Citizen 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Daejeon -
Ulsan Citizen 4
Seoul E-Land 2
TBD -
Ulsan Hyundai -
Gwangju FC -
TBD -
Cheonan City 2
Mokpo 1
Pohang -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Busan Kyotong 2
Suwon Bluewings 1
Ansan Greeners 0
Jinju Citizen 2
Gyeongju KHNP 0
Cheongju 4
TBD -
Anyang -
Jeju SK -
TBD -
Hwaseong 4
Yangpyeong 3
Yeoju Citizen 1
Gyeongnam 0
Yongin FC 0
Dangjin Citizen 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jeonbuk -
Namyangju 1
Gimpo FC 2
TBD -
Incheon -
Gimcheon Sangmu -
TBD -
Suwon FC 3
Pyeongchang United 2
Gangwon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Changwon 1
Gimhae 5
Seongnam 2
Pocheon 1
Busan 4
Geoje 0
TBD -
Seoul -
Bucheon FC 1995 -
TBD -
Paju Frontier 3
Gangneung 2
1/16-finals
Chungnam Asan 2
Siheung Citizen 1
TBD -
Daejeon -
Ulsan Citizen 1
Ulsan Hyundai 0
Gwangju FC 1
Cheonan City 0
Pohang -
TBD -
Busan Kyotong 1
Jinju Citizen 2
Cheongju 1
Anyang 3
Jeju SK 4
Hwaseong 3
Yeoju Citizen 0
Dangjin Citizen 1
TBD -
Jeonbuk -
Gimpo FC 1
Incheon 0
Gimcheon Sangmu 2
Suwon FC 1
Gangwon -
TBD -
Gimhae 0
Seongnam 1
Busan 2
Seoul 0
Bucheon FC 1995 3
Paju Frontier 0
1/8-finals
Chungnam Asan 2
Daejeon 3
Ulsan Citizen 0
Gwangju FC 1
Pohang 3
Jinju Citizen 1
Anyang 2
Jeju SK 1
Dangjin Citizen 3
Jeonbuk 2
Gimpo FC 2
Gimcheon Sangmu 1
Gangwon 1
Seongnam 0
Busan 0
Bucheon FC 1995 1
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -