Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pocheon vs Ulsan Citizen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Korea South Korea

K3 League Pocheon Stadium, Pocheon
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
05:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pocheon host Ulsan Citizen in the K3 League. This one's hard to separate. Pocheon have averaged 1.63 scored and 0.9 conceded recently, against Ulsan Citizen's 1.06 scored and 1.12 conceded. Head-to-head, Pocheon have won 3 to Ulsan Citizen's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on May 30, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.00, favoring Pocheon. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Pocheon
15%
Draws
48%
Ulsan Citizen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ulsan Citizen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Pocheon have won more games recently than Ulsan Citizen.
  • Model gives Pocheon a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular K3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Pocheon Clean Sheet 20%
Ulsan Citizen Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pocheon Ulsan Citizen
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 17 13
Draws 7 5
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.63 1.06
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Pocheon
0:1
Oct 4, 2025 K3 League
Pocheon vs Ulsan Citizen
0:0
Jun 6, 2025 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Pocheon
1:2
Nov 2, 2024 K3 League
Pocheon vs Ulsan Citizen
2:1
Jun 22, 2024 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Pocheon
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pocheon 42 / 100
Ulsan Citizen 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pocheon Ulsan Citizen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pocheon scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Ulsan Citizen let in goals in 73% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Pocheon remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pocheon VS Ulsan Citizen
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pocheon

(Home)
03 Oct
Pocheon
0 : 0
Chuncheon
19 Sept
Busan Kyotong
1 : 0
Pocheon
13 Sept
Yangpyeong
0 : 2
Pocheon
06 Sept
Pocheon
1 : 0
Yeoju Citizen
30 Aug
Siheung Citizen
3 : 2
Pocheon
Page 1 of 6

Ulsan Citizen

(Away)
03 Oct
Ulsan Citizen
1 : 2
Siheung Citizen
11 Sept
Daejeon Korail
0 : 1
Ulsan Citizen
05 Sept
Ulsan Citizen
1 : 2
Gyeongju KHNP
30 Aug
Ulsan Citizen
2 : 1
Busan Kyotong
23 Aug
Jeonbuk 2
0 : 1
Ulsan Citizen
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siheung Citizen 23 17 4 2 37:20 55
2 Pocheon 23 13 7 3 38:19 46
3 Daejeon Korail 23 12 5 6 33:18 41
4 Busan Kyotong 23 10 7 6 40:29 37
5 Gyeongju KHNP 23 9 8 6 35:31 35
6 Dangjin Citizen 23 9 4 10 46:39 31
7 Chuncheon 23 8 6 9 39:35 30
8 Changwon 23 7 8 8 26:28 29
9 Yeoju Citizen 23 7 7 9 26:29 28
10 Ulsan Citizen 24 8 4 12 25:28 28
11 Gangneung 23 7 6 10 21:32 27
12 Mokpo 23 5 9 9 22:36 24
13 Yangpyeong 24 4 8 12 30:46 20
14 Jeonbuk 2 23 1 7 15 23:51 10
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)