Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pocheon vs Yeoju Citizen

South Korea South Korea

K3 League Pocheon Stadium, Pocheon
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Lee J.

AI Match Summary

The K3 League game between Pocheon and Yeoju Citizen finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pocheon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Pocheon
15%
Draws
21%
Yeoju Citizen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pocheon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pocheon come out ahead of Yeoju Citizen on wins alone.
  • Pocheon are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Pocheon Clean Sheet 20%
Yeoju Citizen Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pocheon Yeoju Citizen
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 18 11
Draws 7 8
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.71 1.19
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 K3 League
Pocheon vs Yeoju Citizen
1:0
Apr 26, 2026 K3 League
Yeoju Citizen vs Pocheon
3:4
Jul 26, 2025 K3 League
Yeoju Citizen vs Pocheon
1:0
Apr 6, 2025 K3 League
Pocheon vs Yeoju Citizen
2:0
Oct 5, 2024 K3 League
Yeoju Citizen vs Pocheon
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pocheon Compare

Top Goalscorer Lee J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Yeoju Citizen Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pocheon 67 / 100
Yeoju Citizen 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pocheon Yeoju Citizen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pocheon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pocheon's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Yeoju Citizen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Pocheon remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pocheon VS Yeoju Citizen
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pocheon

(Home)
19 Sept
Busan Kyotong
1 : 0
Pocheon
13 Sept
Yangpyeong
0 : 2
Pocheon
06 Sept
Pocheon
1 : 0
Yeoju Citizen
30 Aug
Siheung Citizen
3 : 2
Pocheon
22 Aug
Pocheon
2 : 0
Mokpo
Page 1 of 7

Yeoju Citizen

(Away)
12 Sept
Chuncheon
2 : 1
Yeoju Citizen
06 Sept
Pocheon
1 : 0
Yeoju Citizen
30 Aug
Mokpo
1 : 0
Yeoju Citizen
22 Aug
Dangjin Citizen
1 : 2
Yeoju Citizen
29 Jul
Yeoju Citizen
0 : 1
Dangjin Citizen
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siheung Citizen 22 16 4 2 35:19 52
2 Pocheon 22 13 6 3 38:19 45
3 Daejeon Korail 22 11 5 6 31:17 38
4 Busan Kyotong 22 10 7 5 39:26 37
5 Gyeongju KHNP 22 8 8 6 32:29 32
6 Dangjin Citizen 22 9 4 9 44:36 31
7 Chuncheon 22 8 5 9 39:35 29
8 Ulsan Citizen 22 8 4 10 23:24 28
9 Gangneung 22 7 6 9 20:30 27
10 Changwon 22 6 8 8 24:27 26
11 Yeoju Citizen 22 6 7 9 24:28 25
12 Mokpo 22 4 9 9 19:35 21
13 Yangpyeong 22 3 8 11 27:43 17
14 Jeonbuk 2 22 1 7 14 22:49 10
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)