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Pocone vs Rondonopolis EC

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense 2 2024
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Matogrossense 2 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Pocone
35%
Draws
32%
Rondonopolis EC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Rondonopolis EC average 1.6 goals a game right now, well clear of Pocone's 1.16.
  • 32% — that's where the model lands on Rondonopolis EC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Rondonopolis EC here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Pocone Clean Sheet 10%
Rondonopolis EC Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pocone Rondonopolis EC
Matches Played 31 20
Wins 7 7
Draws 7 6
Losses 17 7
Goals Scored 1.16 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.84 1.05
Expected Goals (xG) 0.80 2.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2024 Matogrossense 2
Pocone vs Rondonopolis EC
1:1
Apr 19, 2015 Matogrossense
Pocone vs Rondonopolis EC
0:2
Mar 22, 2015 Matogrossense
Rondonopolis EC vs Pocone
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pocone 22 / 100
Rondonopolis EC 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pocone Rondonopolis EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rondonopolis EC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pocone scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Rondonopolis EC let in goals in 60% of their last 20 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Pocone has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pocone VS Rondonopolis EC
0.75 Goals Scored 2.71
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.86
75% Over 1.5 71%
75% Over 2.5 43%
50% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Pocone

(Home)
23 Jun
Pocone
1 : 2
Sport Sinop
16 Jun
Sport Sinop
2 : 2
Pocone
08 Jun
Gremio Sorriso
1 : 3
Pocone
02 Jun
Pocone
0 : 0
Gremio Sorriso
26 May
Pocone
1 : 1
Rondonopolis EC
Page 1 of 7

Rondonopolis EC

(Away)
08 Jun
Rondonopolis EC
0 : 1
Caceres
02 Jun
Caceres
0 : 0
Rondonopolis EC
26 May
Pocone
1 : 1
Rondonopolis EC
19 May
Rondonopolis EC
3 : 3
Várzea Grande EC
11 May
Rondonopolis EC
2 : 0
Atletico MT
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rondonopolis EC 5 3 2 0 19:5 11
2 Acao 4 3 0 1 9:6 9
3 Pocone 4 2 1 1 7:4 7
4 Várzea Grande EC 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
5 Atletico MT 4 0 0 4 0:10 0
6 Paulistano FC 1 0 0 1 0:9 0
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sinop FC 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
2 Gremio Sorriso 5 3 2 0 8:3 11
3 Caceres 5 2 1 2 6:6 7
4 Sport Sinop 5 2 0 3 6:6 6
5 Campo Novo 5 1 0 4 6:10 3
6 Santa Cruz MT 5 1 0 4 3:9 3
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 2024 (Play Offs)