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Pocone vs Várzea Grande EC Prediction & H2H Stats

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Matogrossense 2 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Matogrossense 2 2024 game between Pocone and Várzea Grande EC finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pocone.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Pocone
30%
Draws
42%
Várzea Grande EC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Várzea Grande EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Várzea Grande EC come out ahead of Pocone on wins alone.
  • Pocone are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Pocone Clean Sheet 20%
Várzea Grande EC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pocone Várzea Grande EC
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 7 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 1.16 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.84 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2024 Matogrossense 2
Pocone vs Várzea Grande EC
2:1
Mar 6, 2016 Matogrossense
Pocone vs Várzea Grande EC
2:0
Feb 10, 2016 Matogrossense
Várzea Grande EC vs Pocone
3:1
Feb 22, 2015 Matogrossense
Várzea Grande EC vs Pocone
3:1
Feb 8, 2015 Matogrossense
Pocone vs Várzea Grande EC
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pocone 76 / 100
Várzea Grande EC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pocone Várzea Grande EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pocone Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Várzea Grande EC conceded in 87% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Pocone found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Solid form: Pocone remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Várzea Grande EC
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pocone

(Home)
23 Jun
Pocone
1 : 2
Sport Sinop
16 Jun
Sport Sinop
2 : 2
Pocone
08 Jun
Gremio Sorriso
1 : 3
Pocone
02 Jun
Pocone
0 : 0
Gremio Sorriso
26 May
Pocone
1 : 1
Rondonopolis EC
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Várzea Grande EC

(Away)
27 Sept
Várzea Grande EC
2 : 5
Chapada
23 Sept
Uirapuru
1 : 4
Várzea Grande EC
20 Sept
Várzea Grande EC
1 : 3
Uniao Rondonopolis
13 Sept
Santa Cruz MT
1 : 2
Várzea Grande EC
08 Feb
Cuiaba
0 : 1
Várzea Grande EC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rondonopolis EC 5 3 2 0 19:5 11
2 Acao 4 3 0 1 9:6 9
3 Pocone 4 2 1 1 7:4 7
4 Várzea Grande EC 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
5 Atletico MT 4 0 0 4 0:10 0
6 Paulistano FC 1 0 0 1 0:9 0
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sinop FC 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
2 Gremio Sorriso 5 3 2 0 8:3 11
3 Caceres 5 2 1 2 6:6 7
4 Sport Sinop 5 2 0 3 6:6 6
5 Campo Novo 5 1 0 4 6:10 3
6 Santa Cruz MT 5 1 0 4 3:9 3
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 2024 (Play Offs)