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Pocos de Caldas vs EC Itauna

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Mineiro 2 2009
Pocos de Caldas Logo

Pocos de Caldas

3 - 3
FT
EC Itauna Logo

EC Itauna

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato Mineiro 2 2009 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Pocos de Caldas
20%
Draws
40%
EC Itauna
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Pocos de Caldas have won more games recently than EC Itauna.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Campeonato Mineiro 2 2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Pocos de Caldas Clean Sheet 19%
EC Itauna Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pocos de Caldas EC Itauna
Matches Played 34 32
Wins 10 7
Draws 6 11
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 1.03 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2011 Mineiro 2
Pocos de Caldas vs EC Itauna
3:0
Feb 26, 2011 Mineiro 2
EC Itauna vs Pocos de Caldas
1:0
Mar 29, 2009 Mineiro 2
EC Itauna vs Pocos de Caldas
2:2
Mar 11, 2009 Mineiro 2
Pocos de Caldas vs EC Itauna
3:3
Apr 9, 2008 Mineiro 2
EC Itauna vs Pocos de Caldas
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pocos de Caldas 31 / 100
EC Itauna 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pocos de Caldas EC Itauna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pocos de Caldas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

EC Itauna let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Difficult form: EC Itauna registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Pocos de Caldas scored in 56% of their last 34 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pocos de Caldas VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pocos de Caldas

(Home)
19 Oct
Tupynambas
3 : 2
Pocos de Caldas
13 Oct
Pocos de Caldas
3 : 0
Tres Coracoes
08 Oct
Pocos de Caldas
1 : 1
Inter de Minas
02 Oct
Villa Real
2 : 0
Pocos de Caldas
29 Sept
Pocos de Caldas
0 : 2
Guarani-MG
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EC Itauna

(Away)
20 Mar
EC Itauna
2 : 2
Tombense
16 Mar
Nacional MG
7 : 3
EC Itauna
13 Mar
Formiga EC
3 : 1
EC Itauna
11 Mar
EC Itauna
3 : 1
Tricordiano
05 Mar
Pocos de Caldas
3 : 0
EC Itauna
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ipatinga 22 13 4 5 43:31 43
2 Caldense 22 12 7 3 43:19 43
3 America TO 22 12 3 7 40:30 39
4 Funorte EC 22 8 7 7 39:33 31
5 Formiga EC 22 9 3 10 25:28 30
6 Araxa 22 7 9 6 30:31 30
7 Valeriodoce 22 8 5 9 28:29 29
8 URT 22 7 5 10 23:37 26
9 Pocos de Caldas 22 6 7 9 28:34 25
10 EC Itauna 22 5 10 7 26:29 25
11 Democrata SL 22 6 4 12 29:36 22
12 Ideal FC 22 4 6 12 24:41 18
Promotion - Campeonato Mineiro 2010 (Main)