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Pocos de Caldas vs Guarani-MG

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2023
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AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 3 2023 game between Pocos de Caldas and Guarani-MG finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guarani-MG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Pocos de Caldas
33%
Draws
40%
Guarani-MG
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Guarani-MG

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Guarani-MG carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Guarani-MG's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Mineiro 3 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Guarani-MG here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Pocos de Caldas Clean Sheet 20%
Guarani-MG Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pocos de Caldas Guarani-MG
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 8 22
Draws 5 7
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 0 1
Goals Conceded 0 1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2024 Mineiro 3
Pocos de Caldas vs Guarani-MG
0:2
Sep 23, 2024 Mineiro 3
Guarani-MG vs Pocos de Caldas
3:0
Oct 21, 2023 Mineiro 3
Pocos de Caldas vs Guarani-MG
1:4
Aug 26, 2023 Mineiro 3
Guarani-MG vs Pocos de Caldas
1:0
May 16, 2010 Mineiro 2
Guarani-MG vs Pocos de Caldas
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pocos de Caldas 28 / 100
Guarani-MG 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pocos de Caldas Guarani-MG

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarani-MG let in goals in 73% of their last 40 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Pocos de Caldas's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Pocos de Caldas has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Guarani-MG
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1America TO65108:216
2Valeriodoce64026:412
3Juventus Minasnovense62137:77
4Boston City60064:120
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guarani-MG650110:215
2Pocos de Caldas63126:610
3Villa Real51131:44
4Tres Coracoes51042:73
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1Contagem64115:213
2Coimbra Esporte Clube632113:311
3Inter de Minas63128:610
4Serranense60064:190
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mamore862016:420
2Araxa842211:614
3Paracatu73139:810
4Nacional Uberaba71334:96
5Pirapora81073:163